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bought it along with some expensive stranges which add up to about 2-4 keys, for a ooze handy mans:
http://imgur.com/MUzDcOz
http://imgur.com/d6Pk34s
sold it for a flies larrikin robin:
http://imgur.com/CfhMtl1
http://imgur.com/l09hLOM
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063989822?time=1428044400 - Sold for 11 keys?Outlierhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25821436 - Sold for Roboactive Bone Dome (51 Keys) w/ PE Cone (~23 Keys) ~28 Keys
PE Cone: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25822793
-Sold for Max ~26 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165756629?time=1430051106 - Sold for Sunbeams Bonk w/ Electrostatic Hermes + 2 Keys
Both hats outdated
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25764996 - Sold for Amarathine Conquisator ~28 Keys
Outdated hat
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049374459?time=1428315200 - Sold for Steaming Honcho (14 Keys) + 4 Keys + Festive Eyelander ~20 Keys
Honcho needs an update
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25416386 - Sold for Steaming Hallmark
These are all the valid sales. Unfortunately, I only have the time to find a mini for one of the hats.
Ooze Handyman's handle and Massed flies Larrikin Robin are both outdated, need minis for both
what are minis?
A recent sale to justify a specific price for an outdated unusual when traded for another unusual
oh i bought the handymans, and i think a key in sweets for a maxes
I guess that puts your range as pretty close.