Suggestion: Stare from Beyond Cloud Crasher at 26–48 keys

Price Suggestion

~54 keys

stare

141 votes up

11 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 04 May 15 02:18:31 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

"Coincidentally countering..

Need a mini on this for the DB impaler; might as well try to price this

incidentally a counter to the open suggestion [which I was planning on doing earlier I just realized, since I encountered it earlier while pricing the mallard capo]

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold for max (~27) + TaW dead cone (~17)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062815905?time=1428885255 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062815905?time=1428908400 after

no overpay needed on the max. clean/nonduped and not lv1/7

27+0.9*17 = 42.3, rounding to 42

-> 42 keys

Sale 2:

sold for 2 buds?

Buyer:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062815905?time=1428735600 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062815905?time=1428885255 after

Seller:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1428735600 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1428843024 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25639195 The trade

This value makes no sense (as it would be ~10). Gonna assume either something I cant see was involved. Otherwise, considering it an outlier

Sale 3:

Sold + GBH connoisseurs (~70) + Hellfire Cloud crasher (50) for DB impaler

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1428390000 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1428503885 after

Using this for the impaler

Sale 4:

Sold for aces mountaincap (~12) + presidents yellow belt (~21)+ 1 key

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086357276?time=1428185099 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086357276?time=1428217200 after

0.9*(12+21) + 1 = ~30,7, rounding to 31

31 keys

Sale 5:

sold for duped ghosts pith (28) + duped vivid private eye (~26)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108511797?time=1426782446 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108511797?time=1426575600 after

0.9*(28+26) = ~48

-> 48 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for a bud (~8) + 16 keys + 2 keys in ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058401421?time=1427439600 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058401421?time=1427698800 after

8+16+2 = 23

-> 26 keys

Sale 7:

Sold with stormy backbiters (~12) + 2 keys for GBH hermes

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071200743?time=1426057200 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071200743?time=1426288452 after

Cant get accurate mini on the hermes, will use this to update it.

Sale 8:

Sold + orbfire nappers (12) + 2 keys for KaW BoA (68)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088969319?time=1425256941 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088969319?time=1425283200 after

0.9* (68-12) -2 = ~48

-> 48 keys

The minis:

Mini cone:

Sold for presidents attendant (~17)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108990321?time=1425407214 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108990321?time=1425456000 after

Taking 17

Mini yellow belt:

Outdated at ~30.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25806799 seller at 21

Taking 21

Mini aces medicap:

sold for bubbling scotch (~11)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058875299?time=1425715200 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058875299?time=1425825792 after

Sold for stormy fez (~12):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026225027?time=1430011404 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026225027?time=1430031600 after

12 sale happened without a bump in two days (and exceeds the other sale at 11)

Taking 12

Mini pith:

Sold for mallard capo (~47)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067540052?time=1426699598 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067540052?time=1426834800 after

Clean one for sale at 28:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25779723

The sale shows that the duped has a selling potential at (or even above) a clean one; taking clean value

Taking 28

Mini nappers:

sold for stormy backbiter (12)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071200743?time=1425797170 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071200743?time=1425884400 after

Taking 12

Sales at:

10?

26

31

42

48

48

Outliers and why

10 is by far a low outlier (maybe someone that missed the bud values?)

26 is a full pure sale that Id prefer to have in the range.

3 sales are significantly higher than the full pure, backing each other up as common trading point.

huge range? or should other sales be excluded? Gladly taking advice

As for now, putting it at a large range (26-48)

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3

74 keys, my god.

26 (From what I've checked) Seems to be more far back, kinda makes an ugly range too :/ .

Yea I find it difficult to decide here, especially since theres a sale at 31 that kind of backs it up as well. I could go 31-42, but then Im ignoring a full pure sale and two sales at the same value (neither of which are exceedingly high or low, since they have sales at a relatively close value to back them up). I guess Ill wait and see what the mods think of it

Your first sale is incorrect. It was sold for these as provided in the other suggestion which brings the sale closer to 50 keys.

http://imgur.com/AkabOfd

http://imgur.com/3peNw3M

http://imgur.com/c5mjKeV

http://imgur.com/m0uksjA

These are the more recent sales.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25837949 Offered on for Miami Nights Hat of Cards(34.5 keys) + Strange Professional KIllstreak Festive Ambassador(~11 keys) + Strange Professional killstreak festive knife(~22 keys). Making this sale ~68 keys

Sold for duped Demonflame Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet + Sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059793248?time=1430118000 (April 27th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059793248?time=1430290800 (April 29th)

These sales are well over 26 keys here. The low end is probably low here.

alright, closing this. Will take a look at the other sales and see if I can get a more accurate range. Thanks!

[Edit] I cant close it as it appears

Sorry didn't unassign. You should be able to now.

yeah. again, thanks!