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Sale 1: (outlier, quicksell)
Sold with an Australium Axtinguisher for an Orbiting Fire Anger plus 6 keys and 18 ref (keys were 19 ref)
(25*0.9) + 6.9 - 8 = 21.4 rounding to 21 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25504813
Seller Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095437608?time=1427353200
Seller After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095437608?time=1427439600
Sale 2:
Sold for a Steaming Siberian Facehugger
only one sale in that suggestion so treating it like a mini and not applying overpay twice
22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25785618
Seller Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025812356?time=1429772400
Seller After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025812356?time=1430204400
Sale 3: (outlier)
Sold for a Gifted Stormy 13th Hour Engineer's Cap ,a Nuts n' Bolts Sole Mate and ~9 keys of sweets
(90*0.8) + (15 + 9)*0.9 = 93.6 rounding to 94 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25721703
Seller Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025812356?time=1429340400
Seller After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025812356?time=1429426800
Notes:
Support proof: (involved a scammer)
Sale 2: (outlier, scammer)
Sold for a Haunted Phantasm Jr Hot Dogger + 4 keys
(38*0.9) + 2 = 36.2 rounding to 36
No Outpost trade
Buyer Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052306405?time=1427785200
Buyer After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052306405?time=1427871600
Mini for the Orbiting Fire Anger:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55302920b98d883e148b589d
Mini for the Steaming Siberian Facehugger:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/553f4d7db98d8844328b4819
Can’t find a single recent valid sale for the Engineer’s cap, so going with the current price.
Conclusion:
A quick sale at 21, a sale at 22 and an outlier at 94, taking the final price at 22 keys.
People keep trying to push this suggestion through, it's no good ;_;
Pretty much every one of these that has been sold has had offers higher than this.
The engycap is massvely outdated and probably not as much of an outlier as you think if you made a mini-suggestion for it, even if just based on B/Os and offers.
But this is low, as proven by the 'supporting' sale.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25505523 Offered 5 pure
EDIT: Here's the most recent sale on the Engycap-
http://backpack.tf/item/1193158634 -> http://backpack.tf/item/2042457570
Sold for Hellfire Harenkutte, which has a current B/O of 60 on the market.
Would you suggest I use that weird engycap mini to value it at 60 keys, and after re-calculating that sale, call the 22 key sale an outlier instead?
I think it's certainly more likely to be a more realistic value considering the offers. But then considering a lot of B/Os it may also be an outlier regardless.
I still don't think, as I've said previously, this hat can be accurately priced yet.