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Counter manipulation. First I priced the DP Barnstormer, and now this?
Sale 1 (outlier): Sold for a Mega Strike Taunt: Battin' a Thousand (24-30 keys. Taking 27) and 17 ref
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152288799?time=1429340400 (April 18th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152288799?time=1430118000 (April 27th)
Hist of ML Trilby: http://backpack.tf/item/2162592590
Hist of Mega Strike Battin' a Thousand: http://backpack.tf/item/3375896134
April 18: Keys were 16.66 ref
27*0.9 + 1.02 = ~25 keys
Sale 2: Sold for a Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: Results Are In (15-19. Taking 17)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094559788?time=1429254000 (April 17th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094559788?time=1429340400 (April 18th)
Hist of SGG Results Are In: http://backpack.tf/item/3410390607
17*0.9 = ~15 keys
Sale 3: Sold for a Disco Beat Down Gridiron Guardian (9-11 keys. Taking 10)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136799715?time=1425628800 (March 6th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136799715?time=1425715200 (March 7th)
Hist of DBD Gridiron Guardian: http://backpack.tf/item/2598141061
10*0.9 = ~9 keys
Feel free to point out any mistakes with this.
Hmm. 15 flat would probably be better. The nine sale's outpost didn't get much exposure, quite possibly a quicksell and /or the seller was inexperienced.
Honestly, I don't know how to go through with this one since sales are pretty much out there.
The 9 sale is iffy. I would go with 15 or 15-25. You're not completely wrong in calling 25 an outlier though, from the looks of it. I'll see if I can't find any support-y stuff.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3465097848,324,5 -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3447997952,30004,5
Slightly outdated, but supporting proof: Sold for MN Sensei (Outdated at 22)
I'd go for 15-25.
Thanks. I'll re-suggest at that then.
9 in the range seems unrealistic
15-25 is better, even tho it's a wider range