Suggestion: Morning Glory Tough Stuff Muffs at 200–225 keys

Price Suggestion

~345 keys

morning

104 votes up

9 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Tue, 12 May 15 05:15:58 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

"The perfect head- and ear-equipment for chilly winter mornings"

3 exist, 2 of which had recent sales [the other is still in the possession of the unboxer]

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold for ghost muffs (~175):

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055645755?time=1428881062 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055645755?time=1428908400 after

0.9*175 = ~157.5, rounding to 160

-> 160 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for vintage big kill (400)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116801784?time=1429945200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116801784?time=1430099752 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25687734 B/O of 350

-> 350 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for c9 modest (~82) + orbfire viewfinder (~93) + S.f medi gun(~5) + strange spec ks original (~5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072903306?time=1428314911 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072903306?time=1428390000 after

0.9*(82+93+5+5) = ~166.5, rounding to 165.

-> 165 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for moon anger (~220)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061287128?time=1428303600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061287128?time=1428508792 after

0.9*220 = ~200

-> 200 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for sulphurous caribbean (~60) + phosphorus rack (70) + shadows stahl (~180)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215?time=1426662000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215?time=1427038767 after

Caribbean is outdated a little over 60, but has a B/O of 60 on classifieds. [taking 60 on it]

0.9*(60+70+180) = ~279, rounding to 280

sale 6:

Sold for burning front runner (~250)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063007832?time=1426353857 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063007832?time=1426402800 after

0.9*250 = 225

-> 225 keys

The minis

Mini ghosts muffs:

Made a suggestion to update this (~175)

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55401cb9ba8d8832128b4567

Taking 175

Mini viewfinder:

Made a suggestion to update this (~93)

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55401c3eb98d880f1b8b4567

Taking 93

Mini rack:

Sold for 7 buds pure (buds@10)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066916585?time=1425628800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066916585?time=1425892335 after

Taking 70

Sales at:

160

165

200

225

280

350

To avoid getting a huge range, 200-225 [2 low and 2 high outliers] is probably most accurate.

Note that the 280 sale is probably a little overstated due to this:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55318bc0b98d88bb138b6004

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3

I struggled to sell it and sold it for a Houwar (Clean)

I think the sale occurred after I posted the suggestion. Id say there's enough sales above it to prove it part of the outliers (especially since it happened within a few days). For now, Ill leave the suggestion as it is

aren't you not allowed to use duped sales (big kill sale) in price suggestions?

I think pretty much all vintage big kills are duped. If it would have fit the range, it could have served as supportive proof.

However, since the sale exceeds the others by far even after being capped at its B/O, its safe to assume its an outlier. The big kill being duped supports that even more.

Technically I could do a mini on the big kill (as you'd normally do for duped hats (except the lowest value ones)), but there's plenty of other sales I can base the range on.

You're right in that I cant use duped items to make the range, but since the sale is not included in the range, it being in the suggestion doesnt directly influence the value.