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"Yo-ho Yo-ho a Pirate's Party for me!"
Meant to update this ever since I priced the GBH escorter. I guess one could say I've been 'delayed' a little.
The sales:
Sale 1:
Sold + aces engi cap (~19) + c9 hard counter (~11) for ooze burglerre
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106838027?time=1426748400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106838027?time=1426834800 after
Using this for the burglerre
Sale2 :
Sold for GBH escorter (~22.5)
Buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106838027?time=1426193283 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106838027?time=1426230000 after
Seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012?time=1426143600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012?time=1426241593 after
0.9*22.5 = 20.8, rounding to 21
-> 21 keys
Sale 3
Sold for orbfire bicorne (19) +5 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012?time=1423900800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012?time=1423987200 after
0.9*19 +5 = 23.1, rounding to 23
-> 23 keys
Sale 4:
sold for 18 keys pure
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076020691?time=1430118000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076020691?time=1430233015 after
-> 18 keys
Sale 5:
Sold for 20 keys? cant track histories properly
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056957730?time=1429274210 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056957730?time=1429426800 after
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25660427 had a B/O of 20, but only 8 keys show up in history.
8 is far too low, 20 would fit the range. excluding this sale; BO of 20 is supportive that the drop is needed.
Sale 6:
Sold for ML baker (18) + strange milk (0.2)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065580506?time=1428217200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065580506?time=1428705848 after
0.9*18 = ~16
-> 16 keys
The minis:
Mini bicorne:
outdated at ~24
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25793430 B/O of 19
Taking 19
Sales at:
16
18
21
23
Outliers and why
Excluding the 16 sale from the range; its below a full pure sale at 18 that happened reasonably fast.
Final range: 18-23
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3
The 18 Key was actually quicksold in less than 48 hours. It may have been in the seller's inventory for over 2 months prior, but an initial listing wasn't posted until just over 3 days ago (at the time of posting this reply). Therefore, it really wouldn't feel justified to have the lower end of the range based off of one relatively fast quicksell with no others since being sold at 18 Keys.
18 KEY SELLER: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25803191
With that said (and even though I hate doing this to my own items), the rest of your proof (from 20-23 keys) is flawless and shows multiple sales at 20-21 keys; though I would try to add each sale's outpost listing/classified listing if it has one (which I believe most of them do) to further support your suggestion. I would also try to add unsolds at the current range.
Overall, I would resuggest at 20-23 keys with multiple being sold closer to the 20 end.
I hope I was able to help. Have a wonderful evening! ;)
Hm, it was a tricky one, since I do have a sale below 18. But as it is indeed a sale in which the item sold for its full B/O in pure within very limited time, Id say you have a fair point. Ill resuggest; Thanks for your help!