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Sold@2 ref: http://i.imgur.com/rMRrE9s.png
Seller 1.66: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25819769
Unsolds at 2 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25608746 - 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25708551 - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25749290 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25826067 - Very young
Two pages on outpost and most sellers are still asking for 1.66 ref. One sale isn't enough to change the price of a common item like this one. You'll need a lot more proof than that.
Not that common honestly, 2 pages of unpainted ones.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/245965304
1st link: sold 2 weeks ago
second 2: fair enough, but keep in mind there is a range
Sold @2 (kinda old) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25697415