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Green Energy Scotsman's Stove Pipe
I get most of my suggestions from finding hats in classifieds. This was no different.
SALE 1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25779783 - sold for 37 keys
SALE 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516?time=1429686000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25729236 - sold for Scorching Pyro Beanie (B/O was 38)
SALE 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090335223?time=1428390000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25583827 - sold for clean max's head (24 keys after overpay)
Wide range.. the third sale had a declined 25 key offer, so I'm going to call that an outlier and go with 37-38.
I have a 4th (but not usable) sale for you.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25804131
Offered on my Sulphurous Raincatcher, took it 1:1 -> but Raincatcher is outdated, and didn't find recent sales on it (2 in existence : bought mine on Christmas, the other was traded in January http://backpack.tf/item/1652698708 ) -> will use your suggestion for updating the raincatcher
Anyway, upvoted