Suggestion: Vivid Plasma Thirst Blood at 23–30 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~64 keys

vivid

153 votes up

11 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sat, 02 May 15 00:19:58 +0000 by A Delicious Cashew™.

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Comments

"I had such a poor sleep; Im not vivid at all -_-"

Tried to help out the other suggester but he no careo insert fish/fishing rod story

Theres literally a dozen of sales on this thing; why try to price it with one incorrect sale?

so to the countermobile!

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for clean max (28) + 44ref (~2.4) + baker boy

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198072670235

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072670235?time=1429301890 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072670235?time=1429426800 after

28+2.4 = ~30

-> 30 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for steaming brown bomber, which then immediately sold for Gfetti hotties (~32)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25647475

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072670235?time=1428994800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072670235?time=1429301890 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110608576?time=1429034830 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110608576?time=1429167600 after

Bomber is outdated, gonna consider its sale for the hotties as its mini

0.9*32 = ~29

-> 29 keys

Excluding this since this sale was used to price the hotties

Sale 3:

sold for 4 buds (22) + 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25572395

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063542912?time=1428179273 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063542912?time=1428562800 after

Buds @ 5.5

-> 23 keys

sale 4:

Sold for 3 buds pure (~24)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24903317

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000754743?time=1427447929 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000754743?time=1428044400 after

-> 24 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for S.f sniper rifle (13) + BMOC (4) + 10 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25272115

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077556499?time=1425524155 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077556499?time=1425628800 after

0.9*13 +4+10 = ~26

-> 26 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for MN HWNN (~40)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25108462

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115842834?time=1424286299 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115842834?time=1424332800 after

HWNN is outdated, had a BO of 3 => ~30 keys

-> 30 keys

Sale 7:

sold for ? cant find matching histories

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069140011?time=1424239162 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069140011?time=1424332800 after

overall, a peace beak + vivid thirst + planets noble got sold for NnB KE + c9 stahl + c9 cold killer

Not gonna use this || unclear/complex/no outpost trade/nty

Sale 8:

Sold for stormy thirst + 10? keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25595171 offered stormy + 15 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131684467?time=1428217200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131684467?time=1428332565 after

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/552cc668ba8d88ca448b4907 suggests it was 18 keys

The latter indicates it was used to update the stormy thirst; not using

Sale 9:

Sold for ghosts snaggle (28) which was then immediately exchanged for an amaranthine brain bucket

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108759670?time=1428044400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108759670?time=1428169616 after

seems to have been exchanged for spec ks aussie sniper (~35) + aussie smg (9); would be an outlier

histories dont match exactly either.

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002?time=1428159891 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002?time=1428217200 after

histories:

thirst: http://backpack.tf/item/3055834713

snaggle: http://backpack.tf/item/512455348

Bucket: http://backpack.tf/item/3124479736

Im so gonna price that bucket

Only thing from this I can use is the ghost snaggle, which is 28

No trade posts for either of these trades.

0.9*28 = ~25

-> 25 keys

Sale 10:

Sold + bills for gifted S.f pro ks rocket launcher (30)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980036614?time=1427034849 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980036614?time=1428044400 after

No overpay, mini in pure

No trade post

30-2.5 = ~28

-> 28 keys

Current price:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55046d79b88d88c5018b4c5f

All 3 sales are outdated by now, except the duped glasgow one, which is an outlier.

The minis:

Mini rocket:

sold for ghosts hallmark (~52)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112351576?time=1428822000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112351576?time=1428957697 after

Its clean equivalent's SCM sales:

~50

~50

~70

~70

~80

~80

Avging to ~67€ => 30 keys

http://imgur.com/oq0HogI

The sale shows the gifted launcher has selling potential at (or even above) its clean equivalent.

Taking 30

Sales at:

23

24

25

26

28

29 [excluded]

30

30

This is so evenly spread.. its almost divine *.*

Final range: 23-30

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3

I would remove 23 from range tho, same seller got offer off 15 keys pure + Stormy Thirst, a lot more than 23 keys - unless we value Stormy Thirst less than 8 keys :)

The stormy thirst sale actually happened later on and is excluded because it was used to set the stormy's price. I personally believe sales > offers when it comes to accuracy, but you do have a point regarding this specific one.

However, since its going to be a difference of 0.5 keys in the final price, Im going to leave it like this unless more problems arise.

Thanks for the imput though!

[Edit] While pricing the ama brain bucket, I found out my mini on the gifted launcher is way off. This sale (currently the 28 sale) will end up being significantly lower. Ill get a proper mini on it there (or a final value for the bucket, although I need the gifted launcher for two of its sales) and based on that, this will either support the low end of the range, or can be considered an outlier.

Keeping the suggestion as it is.

[Edit]: Since there's plenty of other sales on this (and the rocket sale was not holding a high or low end) Ill exclude it completely and use it as a mini on the gifted rocket launcher for my bucket suggestion.

Seems like good proofs to me, upvote.