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http://backpack.tf/item/3624115389
Sale 1:
Offered on a presidends charmers (~27)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134811927?time=1428100863 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134811927?time=1428130800 after
Buyer confirmed it was offered [Thanks Slocumruls]
-> 27 keys
Sale 2:
Gifted DaD raincatcher (?)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065057392?time=1427846448
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065057392?time=1428044400
Mini on the raincatcher:
Looks like it was sold with an Ooze Engineer's Cap and a V. Lugermorph for a Frostbite Kabuto and a Stormy Storm Bomber.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150079125?time=1428476400 (April 8th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150079125?time=1428562800 (April 9th)
[Credits to Mage Kid]
This would require pricing of the FB kabuto and the ooze engi cap (I can work on that, but as for now, I think its best to exclude this sale)
Sale 3:
Sold for a bud (8) + 2 keys + a few ref
http://imgur.com/xTuaqaD
8+2 = 10 keys
http://backpack.tf/item/2842449794
Sale 4:
Sold for 38 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24909666
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090829296?time=1426184153 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090829296?time=1426662000 after
38 keys match the offerer on outpost
-> 38 keys
History reveals it was exchanged after that (since the offerer doesnt match the current owner)
However, no return is shown (plus theres a huge gap)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123810241?time=1426143600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123810241?time=1429340400 after
It did not instantly appear after it disappears, which suggests a SCM sale.
Considering the sales, 10 seems to be the low outlier
Suggested value: 27-38
*help from Foamy the Fearsome