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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25869079 -seller at 3.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25868804 -buyer at 4 ref
both links seem to be 2 hours old.
come back tomorrow and maybe your suggestion will be valid...
The seller at 3,66 is gonna sell it to the 4 ref buyer. No proof for 3,66 if that happens and both trades are really young.