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~20.5 keys
eerie
Unusual Trencher's Topper Eerie Orbiting Fire
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My beautiful hat V2


Sold with 1 key of sweets for a Miami Nights Horrific Headsplitter

==>http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Horrific%20Headsplitter/Tradable/Craftable/61

Screenshot of trade http://i.imgur.com/dDwwmed.png

~51.5 keys * 0.9 = ~46 keys.


ayylmao

Headsplitter sales that are usable:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25931030 - sold for higher than the b/o of 50

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25873553 - disco dappers ~27

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25862780 - sold for 40+ (vivid trilby + disco prancer + 10 keys in sweets)

The phantom is also ~44


So the MN headsplitter is probably a solid 44-50 based on these sales, so your value is probably close here.


The issue here is with other sales on the trenchers.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25502893 - b/o of 20 keys and it was up for 1 full week before selling. If this was worth 46 keys it would have sold a lot faster than that for 20.


Before that it took two days to sell for 15 keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25484450. Any hat truly worth 46 keys will sell in minutes for 15 keys.


46 is probably high. Headsplitter sale is likely an outlier.