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At request from someone in the forums, also my second unusual suggestion.
There are only three clean ones.
One owner has been offline for 8 months. Never traded it.
Another one owns the hat since 2013
About the duped ones:
One was bought on Steam Community Market:
http://i.imgur.com/9oGAih6.png?1
and the another one was betted on sweetstakes: http://backpack.tf/item/1650565518
Now to the sales, I was only able to find two. Both sales are for a clean one. (Same hat, but two sales)
Sale 1 - http://i.imgur.com/ic4agDJ.png?1 OUTLIER
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25467405 - Sold for 1 Earbud + 3 Keys - B/O was 20 KEYS
Earbuds were 10 Keys at the time.
13 Keys
Private Eye: http://backpack.tf/item/2288720080
Buds and Keys: http://backpack.tf/item/213385134 - http://backpack.tf/item/3568361733 - http://backpack.tf/item/3210804868 - http://backpack.tf/item/3361294655
Sale 2 - No trade
Sold for a Bubbling Brown Bomber - 22 * 0.9 = 19.8 = 20.
http://i.imgur.com/uGgxNdw.png?1
http://i.imgur.com/maRbm2N.png?1
Bomber History: http://backpack.tf/item/2088649122
Private Eye History: http://backpack.tf/item/2288720080
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Taking 13 keys as an outlier since it seems way too low. The guy who sold it had [Quitting TF2] on his name, probably was ''quicksold''. Also, this trade, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25732301 , already received a Vivid Dixie offer, the Dixie is priced (outdated) at 19~21(20) making 13 looks very low for it to be considered.
Also, I am going to sleep now, if something is wrong with my suggestion post it and I will fix when I wake up.