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Resuggesting due to a mini.
Only recent sale.
Sold with a bubbling tree for a bubbling tyrantrium helm + Silver Bot killer Flamethrower.
The guy with the helm offered so overpay on the helm.
Flamethrower (3.66) + Bubbling Helm (37 keys) + Bills (2.3)
(37 + 13+2.3)*.9 = 33.3 + 3.66ref + 2.07keys, 35 keys. Bubbling tree is 16(See below),
35-16 = 19 keys.
Buyers Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134167686?time=1427526000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134167686?time=1427612400
Sellers Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120908259?time=1427526000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120908259?time=1427439600
Oh Boy Minis Upon Minis, I’m updating this hat because I needed it for a mini, now another mini :P
Bubbling Tree Mini:
Sale:
Sold for 9 keys + 71 ref + Mercs scarf + scrap + Hamshank + bills.
Keys were 17 ref at the time, 71/17 = 4.17 + .5 (scarf was around 8 ref) = 4.67 rounding to 5 + 9 + 2 = 16.
~16 keys.
(Only recent sale)
Buyer
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076105848?time=1419926400
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076105848?time=1420185600
Seller
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062511894?time=1420099200
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062511894?time=1420185600
Some more sales.
Sold for 11 Keys ~11 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062732408?time=1428994800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062732408?time=1429081200
Sold for Smoking Wraith Wrap w/ Duped KaW Merryweather
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130713759?time=1428476400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130713759?time=1428574138
Sold for Pro. KS Axtinguisher (11 Keys) + Conga (1 Key) + 2 Keys ~15 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057809088?time=1428504963
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057809088?time=1428562800
Pro. KS Axtinguisher was valued from SCM. (1 sold at April 7th at ~$26)
All valid sales provided.
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25865560 - 15 Keys
Not really sure, but as there can't be an update on the Bubbling Helm that you've provided, I guess that leaves you no valid evidence on 19 Keys.
15 Keys flat or maybe higher if you have time digging in the Smoking Wraith Wrap and the Duped KaW Merryweather would be more preferable.EDIT: Didn't notice that you also suggested on the Smoking Wraith Wrap. Merryweather needs an update anyways.
Merryweather wasn't outdated at the time I made this suggestion, of course this is a 19 days old:P
I suppose i'll have to remake these again.
The tyrantium helm is going to be an issue here. There's no way that's worth 35 keys. Realistically, that's no more than 20 keys and the sale value there is likely an outlier at less than 10 keys in value. That will need to be updated to use as proof here.
I would price this at 15 flat based on the ax sale.
Tyrantium is also outdated
On a side note, "(37 + 13+2.3)"
I'm pretty sure you meant 0.13
Not really sure why I have 37 + 13 + 2.3.. but the 3.66 ref wouldn't add enough for me to want to round over so i don't think it will change the price.
On another side note, I said overpay on the helm, thats backwards, the guy with the topper offered and I applied overpay to that too. Hopefully that doesn't confuse anyone :P
I'm working on a mini for the helm, but thus far it appears it will come out to approximately the same value as what i put, theres one guy with a B/O of 40 and only one has been on the market(last sale in december/january) besides the one with the B/O(Fresh unbox, its in classifieds)
Well I think the 13 is just a mistype- doesn't effect the calculation.
And idk what your mini is but the buyout doesn't really mean much- for all we know it could be much lower than that.
Im not sure, someone told me you can avoid doing minis inside minis by using a B/O (If its lower than the actual price) instead of an actual sale, the only sale other than this one was back in december and since i clearly can't use this sale and the december one seems a bit outdated I was figuring the B/O of a clean one might at least be supporting evidence.
Edit: Last sale was over 1 year ago
Double Edit: It appears to be a cash sale.