"BRAINS.. HAIRCUTS.. HIPPIES.. BRRAAAIIINNS!"

Operation Kick the Bucket is being executed with my companion, private Zapperzz!

"I hate steampipes."

"eh, steam's okay I guess, I just hate the pipes"

- Francis and Zoey about steam.

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold for blizzardy bombing run (~16)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154973320?time=1429599600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154973320?time=1429688176 after

Probably not the best mini on the bombing run (sale and current B/O are pretty far apart). Sale could be overstated and could be considered an outlier due to the seller.

Using just the B/O makes it a low outlier. Using the average makes it fall within the range. So generally, it doesn't matter much

0.9*16 = ~14

-> 14 keys Supportive

Sale 2:

Sold along with a DP letch for.. ehh... 2complex4me

Seems to have sold with the led and the elfin for the GE dragonborn

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154973320?time=1429340400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154973320?time=1429426800 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094183571?time=1429254000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094183571?time=1429447689 after

Not gonna touch

Sale 3:

Sold with smoking elfin' (~12) for a KaW birdcage (20*)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25733027

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123977468?time=1429388520 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123977468?time=1429426800 after

Histories:

Bucket: http://backpack.tf/item/477473215

Elfin: http://backpack.tf/item/1424915326

Cage: http://backpack.tf/item/2192052788

This sale would end up at ~8 ish, using the mini's value (which is probably even overstating)

Cant use this.

Sale 4:

Sold with pro ks strange ubersaw (2) and S.f flare (1.5) for a c9 elfin (17) + voodoo juju (4)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064680857?time=1429167600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064680857?time=1429272328 after

0.9*(17+4-1.5) -2 = ~16

-> 16 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for KaW stuntman (~15)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198155884697 With a BO of (soldier) 16 keys buds 30% off

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155884697?time=1428390000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155884697?time=1428541908 after

0.9*15 = ~14

-> 14 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for logo handle (~15)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25595888 B/O 15

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177258114?time=1428118224 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177258114?time=1428130800 after

0.9*15 = ~14

-> 14 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for spec ks aussie tomislav (11) + white doublecross con (~2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25578330 sold w/o a bump

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073776919?time=1428082521 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073776919?time=1428130800 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25580595 Tomislav was then QSed for 10, capping it at 10

0.9*2 + 10 = ~12

-> 12 keys QS

Sale 8:

QSed for 12 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25608995

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071226311?time=1428272157 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071226311?time=1428303600 after

-> 12 keys QS

Sale 9:

Sold for KaW gilded guard (~16) + 2 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069673770?time=1427353200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069673770?time=1427514442 after

0.9*16 + 2 = ~16

-> 16 keys

has a bunch of sales in quick succession which are hard to trace and probably wont change the range much anyway. Other history changes I found involved a trading bot.

The minis:

Mini bombing run:

Sold for NnB modest metal (20)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064933619?time=1427526000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064933619?time=1427612904 after

Metal is outdated at ~26, but has a seller at 20

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25833564

The bombing run has sellers at 12 pure (less than a week old)

Averaging the sale and the B/O 12-20 => 16

Taking 16

Mini cage:

Sold for smoking boron (20*)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197983001567?time=1428649200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197983001567?time=1428761076 after

*Boron is also heavily outdated and might be less now.

Taking 20*

Mini saw:

http://imgur.com/GHoucwR averagely sells between ~5-7€ (closer to 5 given the recent sales) => ~2 keys

Taking 2

Mini stuntman:

Sold for DP bandana (~19)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158038869?time=1427733833 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158038869?time=1427785200 after

Sold for steaming nano (~11)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116100791?time=1427322712 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116100791?time=1427353200 after

Averaging 11-19 to ~15

Taking 15

Mini handle:

Sold for smoking baker (15)

http://backpack.tf/item/303209116 for http://backpack.tf/item/692980088

Taking 15

Mini tomislav:

http://imgur.com/aZCWyBk averagely sells at ~23€ => ~11 keys

Taking 11

Sales at 14 and 16. QSes at 12 support the drop.

Going for 14-16 as final range

Constructive criticism welcome, maggots!

~Foamy :3