"BRAINS.. HAIRCUTS.. HIPPIES.. BRRAAAIIINNS!"

Operation Kick the Bucket is being executed with my companion, private Zapperzz!

"Aces and eights"

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold + blizzy fedora (18) for a gifted presidents warpig (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046110848?time=1430463600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046110848?time=1430586378 after

After doing a mini on the pres pig, thisll likely become unusable (last sale I could find seems to have been for a bubbling hound + 2 keys + sweets)

Not using

Sale 2:

Sold for 18 keys pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25607589 BO 18

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136750486?time=1428649200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136750486?time=1428742980 after

Shows 19 new keys, only 18 from the buyer

-> 18 keys

Sale 3:

Cant tell what exactly happened here; seller unboxed afterwards

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25600197

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136750486?time=1428130800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136750486?time=1428217200 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100644790?time=1428130800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100644790?time=1428261904 after

out of the 22 keys from the buyer, at least 3 (probably 4) were invested in the strange spec ks original:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084927866?time=1428205630 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084927866?time=1428390000 after

strange apocofists were unboxed by the seller of the original, implying 4 keys (and the headwarmer) were involved. This would indicate this sale is 18 tops (which does make me wonder why the buyer would resell it for 18..)

Sale 4:

QSed for a bud (11) + 2 keys (13)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25166595

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067269690?time=1424662127 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067269690?time=1426316400 after

Sold in a few days for its B/O in pure (owner likely overvalued buds, seeing how his BO is 16 keys OR 1bud+2 keys)

-> 13 keys QS

Sale 5:

Sold for a S. pro ks beggars bazooka + collectors spec ks direct hit (4) + strange minigun (+robots destroyed) (~2) + silver botkiller minigun (+robots destroyed) (~2) + minor sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149535189?time=1424657477 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149535189?time=1424678400 after

Not even gonna do a mini on the pro ks bazooka (as it is ~5keys). Even counting the strange parts on the miniguns and pricing the bazooka/direct hit generously, this sale doesnt even exceed the pure QS (see sale 4) [I guess thats why the seller spammed the buyers resell post]

Low outlier.

So we have

- Low outlier

- 13 QS

- sale at 18 [full pure]

- another sale at ~18 (not entirely sure)

Supportive:

- QS at 13 supports the drop

- presumed ~18 sale supports the drop

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25892665 seller at 18, supports the drop

Other sellers at 20 (one unsold for 2 weeks) support that the high end is far off

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25781126 unsold 2 weeks @20

Going for 18 flat

Constructive criticism welcome, maggots!

~Foamy :3