Suggestion: Frostbite Harmburg at 44–74 keys

Price Suggestion

~210 keys

frostbite

44 votes up

90 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Mon, 01 Jun 15 03:02:35 +0000 by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

This suggestion is only improving the range Teeny Tiny Cat had set, and so, these first two sales are polished by me, but the main source of labor goes him him/her. The third sale is the only of my own. Proof provided below for the *NEW* range, and thank you Teeny Tiny Cat!

SALE 1:

Harmburg + 10 keys + 8 keys sweets FOR Spec KS Aussie Rocket Launcher (62) = 62- 18 = 44 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25336038

Backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080269035?time=1426575600

Backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080269035?time=1426662000

Mini for Spec KS Aussie Rocket Launcher:

Average buyer pays ~$152, Average seller receives ~$133, SCM key price ~$2.30

152/2.30 = 66.1 keys, 133/2.30 = 57.8 keys, Range = 66 to 58 keys = 62 keys

SALE 2:

Harmburg + 4 keys + 7 key sweets FOR Sunbeams Firewall Helm (65) = 65 - 11 = 54 keys

Backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1425884400

Backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1425970800

Mini for beams firewall helm:

Sold for Holy Grail Meet the Medic (65-79) = 72 * 0.9 = 65 keys

Backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1425970800

Backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1426057200

SALE 3:

Burning Larrkin (74) FOR Harmburg = 74 keys

Proof: http://imgur.com/a80Bcr8

Burning Larrkin Mini:

Larrkin + 1 bud FOR Misty Skull Private Eye (85), buds on March 8th were 11 keys

85 – 11 = 74 keys

Backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012004283?time=1425715200

Backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012004283?time=1425801600

Misty Skull Private Eye Mini:

Private Eye FOR Frostbite VR Headset (85)

Backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970905823?time=1428476400

Backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970905823?time=1428562800

Frostbite VR Headset Mini:

Frostbite VR FOR Molten Mallard Conjuror’s Cowl (85)

Backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869799?time=1428735600

Backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869799?time=1428822000

MM Conjuror’s Cowl Mini:

B/O available, one of one on market, they’re asking 85 keys, going with 85 http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Conjurer's%20Cowl/Tradable/Craftable/88

44, 54, 74

Leaving the range at 44-74, one is low, one is in the middle, and one is large. Comments and suggestion are welcome! Thanks! –The Flying Wombat

The sale you added isn't correct, the larrkin came from someone else. Probably missed the sale in the bp history gap. This is why I did not use it in my suggestion.

History of harmburg: http://backpack.tf/item/3546740111

History of larrkin: http://backpack.tf/item/202202660

ANSWERS TO ALL QUESTIONS:

1. There are 3 Frostbite Harmburgs, and ~20 Burning Larrkins, there are different history lineups, and people cannot show in a hats history if it is sold within a 5 hour range.

2. The sales of previous Harmburgs, such as the 4 bud one, are outliers previously mentioned in Teeny Tiny Cat's past suggestion. Sales of 32 and 33 outliers because the 32 was labled a QUICKSELL.

74 seems like an outlier.

It's not really though, if that's the case, 44 could be one just as much

I would like to ask how long have your buyout at 74 Keys been up for on Outpost?

It was at 80, then went to 60 to try a lower range, then went to 70, created the suggestion, went to 74. It's shifted just because I wasn't sure if 80 was a good value at first, and 60 too low. I made the suggestion, and it works. Why?

How long did it went before you changed your buyout from 60 to 70?

If you're setting a price where there are recent buyouts that are lower, it wouldn't make sense. Therefore, I'm actually asking this question because of curiosity and a bit of unsure that should the price include the high end as well.

I changed it 1 week before the suggestion to 70, a couple buyers on servers thought it was too high, I resuggested. I can add an additional sale for the robin in pure if you'd like

I see no proof of the Larrkin selling for this.

http://backpack.tf/item/3546740111

http://backpack.tf/item/202202660

It doesnt go to the guy with chinese characteristics at all.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25269124

Plus if it did, his B/O was far below it.

Jinx buy me a coke :3

Mine was 30 seconds faster according to website times, lol.

Well gdangit

So how do you say I should revise this? Because I'm not following too well here sorry

well I think sales for unusuals are still capped at b/o. as in, you can't value the sale higher than whatever the b/o was in pure for a suggestion

The B/Os work, the amount buds are worth have fluctuated, so I had to change it to keys. My own B/O meets the criteria as well

the point was you're valuing the supposed (seems to have been refuted by eldric) larrikin sale too high, the value of the sale is capped at the pure b/o which would be the value, in keys, of 4 buds on march 4th

So... Are you suggesting the cap should be the b/o? If so, I know of another sale for pure keys I could put below for extra support.

well unless that other pure sale is 74 keys you should probably resuggest with a lower high end

I think once I get into contact with the buyer, I'll just resuggest with both sales to redo the voting polls

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25435030 - offered with 2.5 keys in sweets for a PE scotch bonnet ~30 keys

Your sale number one actually involves a gifted aussie launcher, so it's probably less. Probably closer to 40 keys.

So sales are really 30, 40, 54, 74. Honestly, I'd call the high and low sales outliers on either end and go 40-54. But we're already there. Current range is fine.