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Another late-night suggestion.
One sale again:
Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Snaggle + ~4 keys sweets
12 + 4 * 0.9 = 14.4 keys rounding to 14 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147009342?time=1426641217
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147009342?time=1426662000
Snaggle mini:
Sold for 12 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094644584?time=1427698800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094644584?time=1427871600
Here comes the sun, here comes the sun and I say, it's all right!
Current seller unsold at 11 keys for a week. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25812021.
Looking at your sale,it should be this hat sold along with 4 keys sweet for the snaggle not the snaggle + sweets for this hat.
That would put this price below 10 keys I believe, compared to unsolds, possible outlier?
I'll re-suggest when I get back home.