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Sale 1
Sold for cauldron bubbles head warmer (39-53) = 46 * 0.9 = 41 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059374348?time=1431068400 (May 8th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059374348?time=1431241200 (May 10th)
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Sale 2
Sold for duped beams stout shako (59) = 59 * 0.9 = 53 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091605281?time=1430895600 (May 6th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091605281?time=1430982000 (May 7th)
Sold for dbd stout shako (20-22) and 40 keys = (21 * 0.9) + 40 = 59 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25892987
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091605281?time=1431241200 (May 10th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091605281?time=1431387180 (May 11th)
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Sale 3
Traded for ghastly ghosts jr cotton head - using this to price the cotton head
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072996005?time=1427785200 (March 31st)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072996005?time=1428044400 (April 3rd)
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Sale 4
Sold for duped searing napper's respite (25), duped p fetti heavy duty rag (9) and ~7 key sweets = (25 + 9 + 7) * 0.9 = 37 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077936644?time=1425369600 (March 3rd)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077936644?time=1425542400 (March 5th)
Sold for 25 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042965974?time=1426143600 (March 12th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042965974?time=1426834800 (March 20th)
Sold for 9 keys
Seller beforeL http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043914474?time=1430982000 (May 7th)
Seller after: ttp://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043914474?time=1431068400 (May 8th)
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Sale 5
Sold for g fetti large luchadore (36) = 36 * 0.9 = 32 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25548941 was wanting 55 in pure, and had an offer previously that was higher than this of an antifreeze prancer's (outdated but still) so I think this one is probably not showing the true value of the seller/buyer if that makes sense
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004383856?time=1430463600 (May 1st)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004383856?time=1430550000 (May 2nd)
Sold/offered with stormy samur-eye (15) for ge olde baker boy (51) = 51 - 15 = 36 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080172858?time=1430377200 (April 30th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080172858?time=1430463600 (May 1st)
Sold for 15 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104346765?time=1428649200 (April 10th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104346765?time=1428735600 (April 11th)
Sold for 4 buds (10) and 11 keys = 51 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995487277?time=1426489200 (March 16th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995487277?time=1426575600 (March 17th)
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Sale 6
Sold for 38 keys pure
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041822925?time=1427353200 (March 26th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041822925?time=1427439600 (March 27th)
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The high sale at 53 is a bit inflated I think, as I couldn't get a decent mini for the duped beams shako so it seems a bit overvalued. The sale at 32 seems low to me as the guy's BO was 55 keys and if he went by the bp.tf price for the hats traded at the time the trade would have come to around 36, which is closer to the bulk of the sales. Going with the three in the middle for the range. Any feedback is welcome.