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Mini suggestion.
Sale #1:
Sold for a C9 Bombing Run
24 * 0.9 = 21.6 keys rounding to 22 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045855411?time=1427524426
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045855411?time=1427526000
Sale #2:
Sold for 4x Collectors Bonk Atomic Punches (3)
12 * 0.9 = 10.8 keys rounding to 11 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046908929?time=1426319494
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046908929?time=1426662000
Sale #3:
Sold for a GC Capotain (15) + Blizzardy Guadalajara (19)
15 + 19 * 0.9 = 30.6 keys rounding to 31 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093171405?time=1429576203
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093171405?time=1429858800
Sale #4:
Sold for 12 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050383840?time=1429772400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050383840?time=1429858800
Capotain mini:
Sold for 11 keys
Possible quicksell/outlier.
Going with current B/O at 15 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25910631
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071905056?time=1425749821
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071905056?time=1426489200
Guadalajara mini:
Sold for a Blizzardy Steel Toe + ~8 keys sweets
Valuing at 19 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053964224?time=1428731031
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053964224?time=1428735600
Bombing Run mini:
Sold for a Smoking HWNN + ~1 key sweets
Valuing at 24 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134024862?time=1431233125
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134024862?time=1431241200
Conclusion: Leaving 11 and 12 key sales as outliers based on current "quickseller" on market that instantly rejected an offer of 10 keys. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25883618
It's been up for 18 keys for a week. If it was really worth 31 keys, I'm sure it would have sold by now. I think 11-12 and 31 are outliers on either end. And I actually might make the range 18-22 here
Where did you find the 18 key trade value? I can only find 2 outpost trades with no B/O set, and a classifieds listing for 17 by one of those two outpost trades.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25883618 - 18 keys?
Huh. I've never taken key numbers as a b/o before, but okay.