"Editing"

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5529a0cbba8d8890778b4874 Previous suggestion

Reviewing the "complex" sale I left out in my last suggestion after formally updating the front runner: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55537051b88d88d5228b456d

Sold with CM brainiac (~200*) for a scorching bonk boy (~550***) and AF front runner (~76**)

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152335696?time=1423468800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152335696?time=1423555200 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847315?time=1423468800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847315?time=1423560665 after

Histories:

Brain: http://backpack.tf/item/1247801450

Gibus: http://backpack.tf/item/2786727057

Bonk: http://backpack.tf/item/2219625954

Runner: http://backpack.tf/item/1654136791

On the scorching bonk:

As Polar pointed out, one has been up for sale for about a month at a B/O of 480

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25686236

It sold a few days ago:

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964430885?time=1431327600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964430885?time=1431522240 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016874768?time=1431410182 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016874768?time=1431414000 after

I can trace back at least 362 keys to the buyer (which also sold a bunch of paints as it appears)

Seller gained ~450 items that day.

This sale is around ~400-450 keys.

Last suggestion:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/551e0df3b98d88cf5b8b466e

One could argue that this sale should be an outlier, but its a full pure sale that took a month to sell, and therefore reflects the price pretty well.

Averaging with the still valid values from the previous suggestion suggestion:

~ 425 (this sale)

~ 466+ duped scorching stahl

~ 670

This would come down to ~550.

Now going back to the sale:

* I recently updated the brainiac => 200 keys

** I formally updated the front runner => 76 keys

*** I evaluated the scorching bonk => 550

0.9*(550+76-200) = ~380

Including the sales from the previous suggestion:

~300

~330

~340

~380

Adjusting the range to 300-380

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3