http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25625892

Sold with 5 keys for a Peace Sign Cotton Head (21)

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869799?time=1428130800 (April 4th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869799?time=1428390000 (April 7th)

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059958156?time=1428303600 (April 6th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059958156?time=1428390000 (April 7th)

Cotton Head: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25576079

This didn't have nearly as many views as the Cotton Head and it was more than likely offered on the Cotton Head. Judging by the trade and the items involved I think it makes more sense to not apply overpay here. The trade may be fresh, but the seller owned it for over maybe around a month and had it listed in other trades.

21 - 5 = 16 keys

———

Sold for an Aussie GL ~16 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149688904?time=1430809200 (May 5th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149688904?time=1430895600 (May 6th)

———

Sold with 1.6 keys in items for a Logo Hot Dogger (16)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090308403?time=1425542400 (March 5th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090308403?time=1425628800 (March 6th)

Checking the sales of the Hot Dogger it should be around 16 keys without O. Fire Lid sale.

Hot Dogger: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25284116

The Lid was probably offered so no overpay should be applied.

16 - 1.6 = 14.4; rounded to 14 keys