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First today, probably one 5. (hint hint, suggestion cap)
I suppose it's my fault for 3/5 of my suggestions being for unpriced hats.
Sale #1:
Sold 1:1 for a Spec KS Aussie RL
Valuing at 62 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105706241?time=1429858800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105706241?time=1429945200
Sale #2:
Sold 1:1 for a Miami Party Phantom
49 * 0.9 = 44.1 keys rounding to 44 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107079728?time=1430785344
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107079728?time=1430895600
Spec RL mini:
Closest sale to date of trade at $146.57 = 62 keys (keys being $2.37)
http://steamcommunity.com//market/listings/440/Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Rocket%20Launcher
Conclusion: Valuing the 62 key sale as an outlier due to two B/O's that took at least a week to sell at 48 and 40 respectively. Thanks to Eldric for finding them.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25816618
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25867390