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Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25817022 - b/o: 90 keys
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25671105 - sold for blizzardy team captain = 65 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25541369 - sold for 9 buds = 72 x 0.9 = 65 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25547840 - sold for burning noble = 220 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25326719 - sold for strange specialised killstreak festive bat + scorching hot dog + '72 battin thousand + blizzardy bonk boy + vintage professional killstreak lugermorph = (11 + 48 + 38 + 35 + 11) x 0.9 = 129 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25300216 - sold for anti freeze whoopee + 28 keys = (41 x 0.9) + 28 = 65 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25279569 - sold for purple energy baker boy + 10 keys = 61 + 10 = 71 keys
Minis:
Blizzardy Team captain:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25562337 - sold for scorching grenadiers softcap = 73 x 0.9 = 65 keys
Burning Noble:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25945443 - b/o: 220 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25796710 - b/o: 220 keys
Specialised Killstreak festive Bat:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25346347 - sold for 11 keys
72 battin thousand:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25865232 - b/o: 38 keys
Blizzardy Bonk Boy:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24681243 - sold for 35 keys
Vintage Professional Killstreak Lugermorph:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25343750 - sold for 11 keys
Why are you applying overpay on buds when they were an accepted currency at the time of the trade?
Also, your "mini" for the burning noble is likely horribly wrong considering it's using 2 relatively overpriced buyouts. That sale is likely closer to your other 129 key sale
even so, it would still be considered an outlier since majority of sales are 65-71 keys (no need to re-suggest because of 1 key)
Probably still an outlier.
Honestly, the very next day buds were 5-6 keys. 65 keys for 9 buds may actually be too high.
Selling "quickselling" for 72 keys
Looking at some recent sales
1. Traded this + 4 keys for Scorching Flames Trilby(73 keys * 0.9 = ~66 keys)
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097022858?time=1433055600 (May 31st)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097022858?time=1433142000 (June 1st)
Total: 62 keys
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25985085 Sold for Searing Plasma Larrikin Robin(15 keys * 0.9 = ~14 keys) + GE Hottie's Hoodie(35 keys * 0.9 = ~32 keys) + GE Bonk Helm(39.5 keys * 0.9 = ~36 keys) + ~6 keys in sweets. Making this ~88 keys
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136573059?time=1432278000 (May 22nd)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136573059?time=1432537200 (May 25th)
3.http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25684764 Sold for ~79 keys in items. (79 keys * 0.9 = ~71 keys)
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044845927?time=1431673200 (May 15th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044845927?time=1431846000 (May 17th)
4. Traded this + Bubbling Tower(17 keys) + ~1 key in sweets for Anti-Freeze Headwarmer(78.5 keys * 0.9 = ~71 keys) + 7 keys + ~0.6 keys in sweets
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075837575?time=1433487600 (June 5th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075837575?time=1433574000 (June 6th)
Making this ~61 keys
5. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26038940 b/o 85 keys Sold for duped PE Napper's + Duped Cloudy MOon Jumper's Jeepcap + Duped Scorching Flames Pugilist's Protector + Strange Professional Killstreak Australim Tomislav. (Probably close or capped at that)
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095335435?time=1432969200 (May 30th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095335435?time=1433142000 (June 1st)
With the sales having such a huge discrepancy, it is tricky to set a range for this. Probably worth taking all these sales into consideration but the range will be pretty large. I'll have another mod look at this.
Looking at all the sales I would say 65-85 would be probably the best.
I agree with Wolfi on this. Leaving out the 61 and 62 keys sale and the 88 keys sale whilst maintaining the average value. Please resuggest at that. Thanks