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~16 keys
o.fire
Unusual Bullet Buzz Orbiting Fire
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"Twice sold for ~35 key . what do you think?"


This is what I think. It actually literally sold twice for (a combined) ~35 keys, pricing generously.

Back to the good ol'fashion countering


2 exist, 1 of which has recent sales. The histories are mashed together and poorly tracable since it was exchanged at a high pace. But this is what I could make of it:


The sales:


Sale 1:


Sold with a gifted S.f pro ks sniper for an orbfire tavish degroot + collectors spec ks eyelander + spec ks gold botkiller sniper + spec ks S. grenade launcher?

Histories weird on this one:

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057902209?time=1431414000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057902209?time=1431586800 after


Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154866032?time=1431360656 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154866032?time=1431759600 after

Cant find the degroot back anywhere. Histories of the weapons dont make mention of the current owner, even though theyre seen in his backpack:

nade: http://backpack.tf/item/1592369710

sniper: http://backpack.tf/item/1887820841

eye: http://backpack.tf/item/3694846605

The value of this sale will probably be too low, gonna exclude


Sale 2:


Sold for ?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25884024

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154866032?time=1430377200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154866032?time=1431360656 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098015839?time=1431299885 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098015839?time=1431327600 after

Max and knife went here:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060345661?time=1430982000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060345661?time=1431103031 after

They seem to have been exchanged for that orbfire swatter. Cant make anything of this sale


Sale 3:


Sold for spec ks aussie FaN (~15)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25875874

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098015839?time=1430722800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098015839?time=1430809200 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158197118?time=1430722800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158197118?time=1430871978 after

Aussie FaN doesnt show up in the sellers bp (nothing does) and nothing else seems to have been exchanged from the buyers bp. Gonna assume it was involved.


0.9*15 = ~14


-> 14 keys


Sale 4:


Sold with ks diamond botkiller scatter (~3) for miami jeepcap (~16) + 1 bud (~4) + sweets (~3)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153531241?time=1430636400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153531241?time=1430772352 after

0.9*(16+3) + 4 - 3 = ~18


-> 18 keys


Sale 5:


Sold for planets anger (~36):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25367371 B/O 16

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078483233?time=1427169011 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078483233?time=1427266800 after

Planets anger is heavily outdated and is probably nowhere near 36. Can do a mini, but in this case, Ill just cap this sale at its B/O of 16


-> 16 keys


Sale 6:


Sold for killstreak S.f sniper rifle w/ relevant valuable parts (~16)

http://backpack.tf/item/3544546957 for http://backpack.tf/item/633729161

0.9*16 = ~14


-> 14 keys


Sale 7:


Sold for S. spec ks AWPer (~15)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071623425?time=1426270594 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071623425?time=1426316400 after

0.9*15 = ~14


-> 14 keys


Other history changes are either between Murray and alts? (they return to Murray within a day). Cant make up the sale from the unboxer, but its fairly old already anyway.


Sales ranging from 14-18. 14 seems most common, but the range seems to be in place here. Going with 14-18.


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3