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I'd say around this much.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25611218 Sold for GE Hustler's (46.5) + Stormy Merry (Outdated at 25, mini at 22)
(68.5 * 0.9 = 61.65 (rounding to 62)
Histories:
http://backpack.tf/item/3341804625
http://backpack.tf/item/3652120544
http://backpack.tf/item/1315863300
Merry mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25876183 B/O 24, sold on market
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3761665569,182,5 -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3731961257,759,5
Sold for Aces Fruit (22)
Using 22.
Can't trace any other sales. This hat has evidently been given away a lot, so there's a lot of false ''trades'' in the history.
Let it ride.