4 months old price

15 in existence. 2 on market (the 3rd is sold)

Sellers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25960410 B/O 40 - young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25941435 QS for 37 keys - 4 days unsold

Sale #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25935526

Sold for PE Milkman -> 50*0.9 = 45 keys outlier regarding the unsold at 37 keys

Sale #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25934982

Complex sale involving P. Fetti Rebel + Sulphurous Toe + Ghosts Shako + Blizz Kabuto + Blizz Flamenco + ...

Sale #3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25926724

Sold for Aussie Eyelander + sweets ( http://backpack.tf/item/1965071134 + http://backpack.tf/item/2619755461 + http://backpack.tf/item/3710697965 )

x = (36 + 2)*0.9 + 1 = 35 keys flat price

Sale #4

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127938353?time=1431414000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127938353?time=1431500400

Sold for DBD Firewall (histories of the other new items aren't matching) -> 29.5*0.9 = 27 keys outlier

Mini on the Firewall ~ 29.5 :

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5557df4aba8d88827b8b4569 after looking at the comments : taking a range of 26-33

Sale #4

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081134005?time=1430982000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081134005?time=1431154800

Sold with a duped Searing Pyromancer (outdated) for clean Burning Napper (outdated), kind of complex too

Mini on the Pyromancer, didn't find any recent sale on that duped, but on a clean one :

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073266358?time=1431586800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073266358?time=1431673200

Recent sale on a clean : Pyromancer + Aussie Scattergun + pro FS Wrench sold for 116 keys -> clean Pyromancer at ~ 60 keys

Mini on the Napper ~ 105 keys :

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/553e1afbba8d886c238b4807 taking 100-110 according to the comments

Sale #5

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081228769?time=1429772400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081228769?time=1429858800

Sold with Spe KS Aussie BB for PE Hood (the FS Wrench was sold to another guy for a Smoking AA)

x + 20.5 = 55 -> x = 35 keys flat price

Mini on the BB ~ 20.5 keys :

Average of sales on SCM for the BB around 47€ at the time ~ 21 keys. Lowest classifieds at 20 keys.

Sale #6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25716037 QS 35 keys - invalid

Conclusion : 27 ; 35 ; 35 ; 45. Considering 27 and 45 as outliers. Flat price at 35 keys

Any pertinent comments are welcome.