Suggestion: Nuts n' Bolts Napper's Respite at 10–12 keys

Price Suggestion

~26 keys

n&b

156 votes up

54 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sat, 06 Jun 15 09:53:10 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Time for my first suggestion, yee. Constructive criticism welcome, yada yada (no seriously, if I did something wrong, tell me).

Virtually nobody sells for 14-15 keys. Here are the sellers I found on outpost:

13 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25980488 (Even though the suggestion's recent, the hat has been unsold for at least three weeks: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25784495. No offers though.)

11 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25977288 (Once again, the hat has actually been on sale for a week: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25895069)

12 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25921143 (Unsold for a week)

You will notice none of these have offers, which in my opinion supports a drop.

Here, however is a sale:

http://i.imgur.com/6Ls0owH.png ( http://i.imgur.com/0XySjmk.png )

I am, however, not sure hot to treat this, since professional killstreaks are unpriced, and the big kill in particular is a rather rare item with a small market.

I bought mine, together with a ~10 ref painted cosmetic, for a Spec KS strange pan: http://i.imgur.com/FigNmFq.png Here's a day-old seller on outpost for 8 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25969940 Other sellers are asking for 9-12 keys, but again there no actual offers.

So, my reasoning is that at the very least, this hat needs a good drop. 10 keys seems to be a good value for my Big Kill trade, and 11 keys already goes unsold for a week at least, with no offers. 12 keys seems to be a good upper bound, with the only 13-key seller not being able to sell for three weeks.

Thanks for reading, and please do leave criticism/comments below!

(I'm not entirely sure if 13 keys should be included in the range after all (maybe even 11-13 keys? But the BK isn't really worth 11), so do tell me if I should close this suggestion and try again.)

Alright, so looking at the SCM, the Pro BK goes for around ~£14. The current value of keys on the SCM is around £1.55, so taking the 15% cut off the price, we have: (14 / 1.15) / 1.55 ≈ 7.85, which can be rounded to 8 keys. There have, however, been some sales for £16-17, with one outlier all the way at £18.64; ignoring the outlier, but repeating the above calculation for the £17 price, gives a value of 9.5 keys.

I feel like 9.5 keys justifies my 10-key lower bound, considering the unusual was paid as overpay. However, I still have no idea what a mini is.

Use SCM sales for the Prof. Big Kill and make a mini out of that. This will help with pricing for the Prof Big Kill and allow to use that value for pricing the unusual.

Alright, thanks for the advice. Pardon the ignorance, but what exactly is a mini? Also, does this mean I should close this suggestion and re-make it?

oh hai ther dudebro. Yeah, Mage Kid does have a point, SCM should do it to get the Big Kill PKS.

big kill goes for like 8 keys, it's low

no established low end here

wow, you're kinda late for the party. Besides, I'm just passing by, so do apply your proof on someone else.

Speaking of this party here, it seems to have been forgotten and buried. Should I try re-suggesting?

the big kill sale is probably an outlier

low tier hats like this are kind of hard to price, especially someone who is fairly new to suggesting, probably should try finding other sales to establish an accurate range before resuggesting

Alright, thanks for the advice. I'll close this suggestion in the meantime.