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*sighs* 'nother complicated one...
Sale #1:
Sold with a Pro KS BB (36) + ~1 key sweets for a Knife Stout Shako (44)
44 * 0.9 - 36 - 1 = 2.6 keys
Way low, not using.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086429470?time=1428332817
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086429470?time=1428476400
Sale #2:
Sold with 3 keys for a GC Tower (20)
20 * 0.9 - 3 = 15 keys
Low outlier, not using
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092995982?time=1429254000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092995982?time=1429340400
Sale #3:
Sold for 19 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090791465?time=1429487722
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090791465?time=1429513200
Sale #4:
Sold for a Terror-Watt Blokes (10) + OF Pith (17)
10 + 17 * 0.9 = 24.3 keys rounding to 24 keys
High outlier, not using.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133887117?time=1430722800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133887117?time=1430895600
Sale #5:
Sold for a KAW L'Inspecteur (16) + Strange Spec KS Festive Ambassador (5) + ~1 key sweets
16 + 5 + 1 * 0.9 = 19.8 keys rounding to 20 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173925222?time=1428044400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173925222?time=1428130800
Sale #6:
Sold for ~20 keys (keys/metal)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134217873?time=1430722800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134217873?time=1431154800
Sale #7:
Sold for 15 keys
Low outlier, not using.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048864903?time=1427058188
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048864903?time=1427094000
Pith mini:
No recent usable sales, going with a B/O at current outdated price.
Valuing at 17 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25852131
15, 15, 19, 20, 20, 24. OP trades might help us out here.
#2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25633724 - took 11 days, B/O of 18
#3:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25742003 - QS at 19, doesn't really change anything tho
#5:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25590181 - looks like 3 buds looking at the trade :O either way, also a QS
#6:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25876729 - last comment
Couldn't find some for some sales, but what we know is that even 19 and 20 went quick. You're right to take out 15 from the range, but I'm not too sure about taking out 24 with even 19-20 being quick.
I took out 24 because the rest of my proof I found is lower. Also, 19-20 seems to be a common trading point, even if they do go relatively fast. But then, lower tier effects seem to be flipped faster anyways.
And thinking about it, there's one with a 21 key B/O for a LONG time: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25237021
So I guess this is alright, haha. Upvote.