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~120 keys
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Unusual Texas Tin-Gallon Death at Dusk
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"Fixing a suggestion"


Previous suggester did his best but made a few mistakes. Only noticed his sale was outdated after I decided to pick up his suggestion (Since he did not resuggest)

The suggestion from roughly a month ago has helped me figure out what happened in sale 1.

Credits to Extivity | HI-DEF [SC] and lurkin'


The sales:


Sale 1:


Sold for 30 keys pure, after which the seller purchased a pro ks aussie stickybomb launcher

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25586671

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095133082?time=1429254000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095133082?time=1429347628 after

http://i.imgur.com/vr7hbvF.png

http://i.imgur.com/QyaiRmR.png

No overpay on the sticky launcher, the seller was specificly looking for one (and the mini is in pure)


-> 30 keys


Sale 2:


Sold for burning mullet (~39) + duped DbD anger (31)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112652443?time=1426748400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112652443?time=1426895844 after

0.9*(39+31) = ~63


-> 63 keys OUTLIER


The minis:


Mini anger:

Cant find a mini on a duped one. Clean mini:

Sold with planets mask (~34) for KaW BoA (68)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065600921?time=1431659650 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065600921 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25973237 Shows both were exchanged, even though the bonk never shows up in the sellers BP

68-34 = 34

Taking 34

Applying overpay to compensate for being duped

0.9*34 = ~31.


Outlier?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25571416 There's currently one for sale at 40 keys. It has been up for a month (doesnt seem to be the best bumped trade ever though). Considering the 63 an outlier based on this.

This trader sold the hat on the SCM and had a B/O of 35: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25786567 Not bumped at 35

(although he lowered from 40: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25733878 )

Gonna use that as additional support to consider 63 an outlier


Putting this at 30 flat.


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3