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1 month old price...
See backpack.tf itself for prices..all selling for 3 ref :-
Some sellers and unsolds:-
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25993620
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25979811
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25685145
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25991183
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25799794
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25979981
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25848904
Your only unsold is actually selling for 3 ref. Not sure, but this may indicate the price should be lower, if you can find some sales.
Some sellers and unsolds:-
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25993620 - 2.66 (young)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25979811 - 3 ref (unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25994459 - 3 ref (young)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25991183 - 3 ref (young)
Bad proof. You need to show that anything above 3 ref cannot sell and you provided an unsold and 2 young trades to support 3 ref.
Found this guy (unsold at current bp.tf price): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25716589
Its also a month old trade. I'm staying neutral, unless a more recent unsold can be found.
All young except second one which is arguably pretty young.
unsolds @3.66?
It does seem to be the most common trade point.