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All credit to Kaushu <3
Thanks to Gent for finally catching my math error in the 3rd sale, placing my range at ~15 keys too high :)
Sale #1:
Sold 1:1 for a OF Ballcap (21)
Valuing at 21 keys
No overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25900277
Sale #2:
Sold 1:1 for a Miami Thirst (40)
Valuing at 40 keys
No overpay
Valuing as a high outlier due to majority of other lower sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25769861
Sale #3:
Sold with an Aussie Tomislav (9) for a DBD Burglerre (38)
38 * 0.9 - 9 = 25.2 keys rounding to 25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25761043
Sale #4:
Sold for Steaming Modest Hat (25) + 10 keys
25 * 0.9 + 10 = 32.5 keys rounding to 33 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25472627
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072029369?time=1429167600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072029369?time=1429254000