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2nd try, I messed up on the old one.
Trade 1:
Sold for a Kill-a-Watt Tipped Lid - 66 keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25825454
Trade 2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25930590
Sold for a Vive La France along with a Frostbite Sole Mate. Frostbite Sole Mate is 80 keys, Vive La France is priced at 197.5. 197.5 - 80 = 117.5. 117.5 is the value of the Larriken in this trade. Here is proof: http://i.imgur.com/g2iZCpy.png?2
The Vive la France is unpriced, though it has correct suggestions that are voted highly. http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Vive%20La%20France/Tradable/Craftable/89 , taking the middle of the range 180 - 215 is 197.5
Trade 3
Sold for a Terror-Watt Black Watch + G Fetti Larrikin Robin + 9 keys = 76 keys - proof: http://i.imgur.com/FZJBj4W.png?1 (I bought it)
Adding it all up
66 + 117.5 + 76 / 3 = 86.5 keys total
Are you taking average of all solds? Because that's not how it works.
whoops, I see my mistake. I'm supposed to make that the range, and not just put the average.
Lid sale can be used after overpay ~60, Black Watch is close to year old (and overpriced atm) - cant be used without mini.
The reason that I closed my MG Vive La France is because it should be lower than the price I've suggested. Therefore, I'm waiting for your trade 2 to happen.
Personally, I'll go for 66-76 instead, as to see trade 2 should be used to price the MG Vive instead.