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Yes I do own one c: I will now be 4 keys richer :3
Sale 1:
Sold for a Demonflame Belgian Detective and 25 keys
(68*0.9) + 25 = 86.2 rounding to 86 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25929041 B/O of 100
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050824312?time=1431414000 (May 12th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050824312?time=1431500400 (May 13th)
Sale 2:
Sold for a duped Purple Energy Killer's Kabuto
(100*0.9) = 90 keys
No outpost trade
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122631490?time=1431500400 (May 13th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122631490?time=1431586800 (May 14th)
Sale 3: (outlier)
Sold for a Molten Mallard Head Warmer and 3 keys (also it was worth 85 and not outdated at the time of the trade)
(76.5*0.9) + 3 = 71.85 rounding to 72 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25794843
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131220023?time=1430982000 (May 7th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131220023?time=1431068400 (May 8th)
Sale 4: (outlier, quicksell)
Sold for 6 buds (he sold the buds for 46 keys which accurately represents the market at the time)
46 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22214609
Definietly a quicksell, he had it listed for 8 whole months with way higher offers than 6 buds. (I was the buyer)
Notes:
B/Os on the market
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25949878 - 90
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25549572 - 100
On my trade I have had offers up to 115 that have retracted after buying different hats while waiting for me, coupling with the other 2 higher sales it makes 72 an outlier.
Mini for the duped Purple Energy Killer's Kabuto: ~90
Sold for a Green Confetti Team Captain:
100 keys
No outpost trade
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122631490?time=1431586800 (May 14th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122631490?time=1431673200 (May 15th)
Mini Mini for the TC:
Sold for a Scorching Noble
(126.5*0.9) = 113.85 caps at 100 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25975581
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122631490?time=1432018800 (May 19th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122631490?time=1432191600 (May 21st)
Conclusion:
Sales at 86 and 90, taking the final range at 86 to 90.
Not that it matters much in this situation, but you should probably cap the duped kabuto at its clean value (99). There's no recent clean sales on it that I can find (apart from a QS at ~80, happened in less than a day in buds when they were crashing, so its kind of meh to use anyway). Its current value of 99 (which is 4months outdated) is probably still relatively accurate.
It would end up being 99*0.9 which is still 90, so it looks fine to me :p
MANIPULATION OWNS 1 AHHHHHHHHHHHHH
AHHHHHHHHH