Suggestion: Poisoned Shadows Medic's Mountain Cap at 82 keys

Price Suggestion

~1420 keys

shadow

51 votes up

27 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 28 May 15 04:58:48 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

This hat will be the death of me

Sale 1

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049329148?time=1430550000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049329148?time=1430982000

Morning Glory Vintage Tyrolean (104)

Poisoned Shadows Mountain cap + 9 keys and a white bills (3)

81.6 after overpay

Rounding to 82

Mini:

No valid sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26021791 Seller for 105

Sale 2

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374?time=1428562800

Sold for GE Slick Cut (50) + 2 keys of sweets = 52

52 x 0.9 = 46.8 Rounding to 47

OUTLIER

Did i do good?

I honestly think a third sale to decide which one is the outlier would help, as well as supporting the other sale, but knowing TF2 it'd be something stupid like 200 keys pure

These are the sales i could find.

I based the outlier of a previous suggestion which was 77 keys (yeah it was closed) and i think 47 would be too low

Considering the SBTWC Mountain Cap is priced at 37 keys I don't think 47 is that low.

The other suggestion yields a mini on the tyrolean, putting that at ~86. 0,9*86 - 9 - 3 = ~65. I guess a range of 47-65 would be better

[Edit] It was offered on the slick cut:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25638138. If sweets were involved indeed, this sale should be valued at 52. Either way, a range 50-65 seems decent

When two sales are discrepant, you need to either wait for a third sale or show through offers that one is an outlier. This will need more digging into or you can wait for another sale