Price Suggestion
Frostbite Greased Lightning
Submitted by Scruff
~200 keys
frostbite
Unusual Greased Lightning Frostbite
13 votes up
30 votes down
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Fact: 90% of people will downvote this because they see I am a white belt and I have one

Credits to WilyZombie and Scaredy-cat for being so helpful


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Sale 1:


Sold for Stormy 13th Hour Das Gutenhukkeharen: 221 x 0.9 = 198. < 199

B/O on the trade was 110 so the price is actually 110: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25754385


Histories:

http://backpack.tf/item/3151124888

http://backpack.tf/item/3374784705


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125985288?time=1429599600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125985288?time=1429858800


Mini on Gutenhukkeharen: 245 x 0.9 = 220.5 < 221

sold for Aracana Tough Stuff Muffs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/520806


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Sale 2:


Sold for Anti-Freeze Deadcone + Circling TF Logo Coupe D'isaster: ~ 50 keys (no overpay required as the Deadcone and Coupe were offered offered for the Greased Lightning


Histories:

http://backpack.tf/item/3374784705

http://backpack.tf/item/1656644247

http://backpack.tf/item/216646540


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036255543?time=1429426800

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036255543?time=1429513200


http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5537c4b6b88d8846028b5720

MegaGenta talks about the Deadcone and Coupe prices here.


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Sale 3:


Sold for GE Chief: ~ 50 keys


Again it is explained in this vote: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5537c4b6b88d8846028b5720


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Sale 4:


Sold for 20 keys pure:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25615722


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066331075?time=1428303600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066331075?time=1428822000

=============================================================================================================


Sale 5:

Sold for Duped Scorching Hermes (82) + Earbud (12.5 keys) + sweets (worth 7.3 > 7 keys): ~ (82 + 7) x 0.9 + 12.5 = 92.6 < 93 keys


Our chat: http://i.imgur.com/MdrWEJY.png

His trade history: http://sta.sh/01412mtx79id


Mini on Duped Scorching Hermes:


Sold for: Duped Burning Flames Coupe D'isaster (54 x 0.9 = 49) , Green Confetti Gentleman's Gatsby (13.5), Green Confetti Waxy Wayfinder (15), Orbiting Fire Gentleman's Gatsby (13.5): (49 + 13.5 + 15 + 13.5) x 0.9 = 81.9 < 82


Our talks and gives information about the histories: http://i.imgur.com/B9mkbqE.png


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079275897?time=1432191600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079275897?time=1432278000


Histories:

http://backpack.tf/item/1101022539

http://backpack.tf/item/1271731572

http://backpack.tf/item/1733763782

http://backpack.tf/item/927003922

http://backpack.tf/item/2598648671


Coupe sold for duped searing plasma YWN: 60 x 0.9 = 54 keys

http://backpack.tf/item/1518307455

http://backpack.tf/item/1101022539


Proof of my talk: http://i.imgur.com/PQuLps2.png

This was the closest thing I got to finding the price of the YWN.


Wayfinder sold for Orbiting Plantets El Jefe 17 x 0.9 = 15

http://backpack.tf/item/850355931

http://backpack.tf/item/927003922


Planets El Jefe sold for steaming Kabuto ~ 19 x 0.9 = 17

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3769509380,152,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3738884234,539,5


Kabuto sold for smoking Yellow Belt: ~ 21 x 0.9 = 19

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3653891773,110,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3649107904,152,5


OF Gatsby has no sales where you can tell what was traded apart from 2 in a multi unusual trade, so I am taking the buyout of the trade on outpost and backpack.tf making it 13.5, also it is a low tier hat and they rarely change from their backpack.tf price even if it is a few months outdated.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26022381

http://i.imgur.com/uAq5r38.png


=============================================================================================================


Sale 6:

Bought mine for: ~ 39 keys

http://i.imgur.com/o3dAERt.png

$87.6 < 88

From backpack.tf a key costs $2.28

88 / 2.28 = 38.5 < 39


=============================================================================================================


Conclusion,

Sales at:

110 Outlier

50

50

20 Outlier

93

39 Outlier

Taking 50 to 80 because it has sold very high and very low, but buyouts on the trades suggest that 80 is common for this hat back upped with some of the sales and sales have proven that 50 is also, and then the buyout of 60 would fit in here.


80: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25706646

80: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26051220

110: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25754385

60: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25819811


Constructive Criticism welcome,

I spend about 5 hours gathering all this data, and if you have any extra things that I missed please comment below, also if you have a better range please say below and give reasons.

If you can find any more minis please say so,

Have a good day

~M1LL3R

    I don't think you can use BOs to set a high end? You can use them to rule out the higher sales but that's it I believe... :/


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25756967

    Unsold at 80 for a month suggests it's too high

      Your 50 sales (with overpay) should be 45 Keys each.

      80 is an outlier.

      Resuggest at 45 flat

        Also ge chief isn't 50 keys, it's 37? :/

        And sale 2 can't be used to price the greased because it was already used to price the dead cone...

        Also should use paypal key prices for paypal sale which would make it more like 46 keys.


        So the only valid sales are at 33 (37*0.9) and 46

          Oh yea!

          37 * 0.9 = ~33 Keys.

          Either Resuggest at 33 - 45, 30 - 45, or just 45.

          (Your pick)

            Yeah, I'd do 33-45 I think, unless there's evidence the chieftan sale was a quicksell

            I think what he meant was to say what Gent has said on the other suggestion.


            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25331451 - Offer of 4 Earbuds (32 Keys) + $46.65 (20 Keys) ~52 Keys

              That's ok for a mini but idk for a suggested price? Maybe just discount that sale and do 45 flat then, would be around the value the chieftan would come to if you took 50 anyway.

        you have to apply overpay on the cone/ coupe, they were offered on the lightning so if suggesting for them you dont need overpay

        since you are suggesting for the lightning you need :v

          Sale 2 should not be used - used for AF dead cone suggestion