"And to get on the pony you need to ride an elevator full of sixteen alive cougars"

Which is an actual sport in latin america

http://imgur.com/8A8orXY

1/2 in existence, both had recent sales. Came across this when I was asked to price the burning merry, which was already being priced. I at least wanted to price SOMETHING.

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold + 4 keys pure and sweets (~5) for PE festivizer (36), SBTWC attendant (88), GE hot dogger (~29) + DbD aviator (~35)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070503597?time=1431154800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070503597?time=1431241200 after

0.9*(88+29+35-5) +36 -4 = ~165

-> 165 keys

Sale 2:

Sold + presidents whoopee cap (~20) for burning merryweather (~170)

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059302154?time=1429945200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059302154?time=1430138500 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384?time=1430031600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384?time=1430139025 after

0.9*(170-20) = ~ 135

-> 135 keys

Sale 3:

Sold + KaW viewfinder (~87) for duped beams kabuto (~185) + 12 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25632365

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189?time=1428476400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189?time=1428584921 after

0.9*(185-87) + 12 = ~100

-> 100 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for bubbling croc (~11) + TaW yellow belt (~37) + pro ks botkiller sniper (~10) + pro ks festive smg (~6) + 6 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040537891?time=1428273705 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040537891?time=1428303600 after

Can make minis on the sniper and smg, but this is going to end up being an outlier, seeing how fast it sold for more

0.9* (11+10+37+6) + 6 = ~60

-> 60 keys OUTLIER

Sale 5:

Sold for beams HoC (~220)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25691885 HoC BO 220

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084871730?time=1428822000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084871730?time=1429014516 after

HoC is a little outdated, probably an outlier anyway

0.9*220 = ~200

-> 200 keys

The minis:

Mini kabuto

Sold + secret coupe (~70) for beams belt (~150) + vivid swagman (~56)+ planets veil (~42) + mega strike I see you (~45)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189?time=1428649200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189?time=1428755381 after

150+56+42+45-70 = ~220

This shows a duped one has selling potential at or above its current updated price (~185)

Takign 185

Mini festivizer:

- Sold for 3 buds when they were 12 (36):

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062802524?time=1425570559 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062802524?time=1425801600 after

- Sold for 36 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960549944?time=1426940721 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960549944?time=1427266800 after

This seems low, but theres two pure sales at 36

Taking 36

Mini attendant:

Sold for hearts connoisseurs (53) + hearts tam (~35)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070503597?time=1430377200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070503597?time=1430463600 after

53+35 = ~88

Taking 88

Sales at

60 (very low)

100

135

165

200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25778219 Offers easily over 60, eliminating its relevance

To prevent a stretched range, Im going with 135-165 (which has the same average as 100-200).

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3