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Thanks to -».•´Woifilicious`•.«- for pointing out the issues with the bayonet mini. Hopefully this is better.
One recent sale
Sold for ★ Bayonet | 95% Fade Factory New (160), orbiting planets whoopee cap (15) and orbiting fire l'homme burglerre (23) = (160 + 15 + 23) * 0.9 = 178 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25859439
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041060358?time=1432191600 (May 21st)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041060358?time=1432278000 (May 22nd)
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Mini on orbiting planets whoopee:
Sold for 15 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25881568
Mini on orbiting fire l'homme burglerre:
Sold for vivid plasma connoisseur's cap = 23 keys
Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064972462?time=1426230000 (March 13th)
Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064972462?time=1426316400 (March 14th)
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55695a20ba8d8867678b457f
Mini on Bayonet 95% fade factory new:
Ok so this thing is difficult to price, as they aren't listed by fade % on the steam market. Offers, ignoring csgo offers because I'll just run into more idk how to price this problems:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26055190
150 keys in unnamed unusuals
scorching dragonborn -132
harvest moon ballcap -only just outdated at 156-180
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26006003 - buyer's trade
burning bullet buzz and ge capo's capper ~110
phosphorous human cannonball - outdated at 250-260
duped secret to everybody party phantom - outdated at 260
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26004975
haunted ghosts fedora - outdated at 142
sunbeams hallmark - 145
green black hole backwards ballcap and aussie scattergun ~165
Buyer had a couple of decent offers above his BO (outdated but still likely above 160), and the offers on other trades are similar in value, so I'm going to use his BO of 160 keys for the value on the bayonet.
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Rounding to 180. Feedback welcome.