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Unusual Toy Soldier Anti-Freeze
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Currently 1 of 1, and according to the new owner, this will not be resold any time soon. Resuggesting with in-dated Scotch price.

Credit goes to Gent for his work on the first sale (used as a mini in the most recent N&B Hazmat suggestion).


Sale 1:

Sold for Flaming Lantern Scotch + 10 keys

Backpack of seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120467518?time=1430550000

(36*0.9) + 10 = 42.4, rounding to 42 keys.

Taking this as an outlier, given the 40 key quicksell, and the successful 70+ key sale.


Sale 2:

Quicksold for 40 keys.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25894226


Sale 3:

Sold for Miami Night Antlers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25894937

Backpack of seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067161406?time=1432969200

B/O restricts this to 70 keys.


Mini for the Antlers:

Sold for a Harvest Moon Cowl + MN Tough Stuff Muffs

Backpack of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098086638?time=1432278000

Backpack of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098086638?time=1432450800

Price is around 100, B/O caps at 70.


All feedback is welcome and appreciated.

    Why are you doing a mini for antlers when they're in date? Confused.

      They're going to go outdated VERY soon, current price is nearing three months old.

      Using a mini isn't just wise, it's borderline necessary.

        They were last suggested 9th March so not really quite 3 months ago, but ok.

          Well, I saw this: http://i.imgur.com/KCIZf5E.png and thought "oh, three months, gonna need a mini". Silly me. I don't think the mini is unwarranted, though.

            If unusual got priced as "73.7" you know it is outdated ;\

              That, of course, is a pretty useful indicator too. :3

                Doesn't hurt, but if you're capping at 70 anyway mini doesn't seem that relevant aside from to make sure it's not lower so one sale can be misleading, did you look into others to make sure that one is about right?

            I agree on using the mini, but in this case it does not matter, since the sale in question is capped at 70 anyway

              It's relevant if the price should actually be below 70, and you can't really tell from one sale if that's accurate or an outlier. Might be good for someone to price the antlers properly or at least hunt down some more sales. I can't atm.

                Miami antlers are priced at 80?

                  What?

                    http://backpack.tf/unusuals/Antlers how are they priced 73?

                      What are you talking about?

                        Theres a mini on miami antlers (I thought that was the mini you meant?) but theyre priced at 80, not 73.

                          ... I have no idea what you're talking about dude, I didn't say 73 about anything anywhere? Did you mean to reply to ShadowMan or something?

                            well I saw a comment suggesting theyre '73.7', and since you said 'the value should actually be lower than 70', I wouldnt know what that came from if theres a mini provided, putting them at 70

                              I was saying that the mini is one sale, and we have no idea if that sale is an outlier or not. The mini doesn't matter if it's above 70 because we're capping at 70 anyway, but if the mini was below 70 then it would be relevant, so I was saying it would be good for someone to look for another sale or two to make sure that the ~100 key mini is not an outlier, seeing as it's pretty far off the current price. Does that make sense?

                                I see no reason to assume theyre below 70, since theyre priced above, sold at 70 and theres no sellers any near 70. Especially considering the previous suggestion is technically still in date (and the initial issue seemed to be doing a mini despite the current price being in date), I would say taking 70 here is easily justified

                                  I'm not saying assume they're below, I'm actually saying the exact opposite of assume - check.

                                    "It's relevant if the price should actually be below 70"

                                    My response to that is that I dont see any reason to assume theyre below 70

                                      Once again... I'm not suggesting we assume anything, I'm suggesting that we check some other sales to make sure. The mini has no purpose unless there's a chance that the sales could be below current price, so looking into more than one sale to make sure is just common sense. You are the one assuming that it's above 70 based on one sale, which could be an outlier for all we know (and could easily not be; again... not saying I think it's one or the other, just saying it might be a good idea to check.)

    I was waiting for another sale. It sold.. but it's a huge outlier. 60 keys or so added for a duped GE beak.


    Honestly, 70 may be high here given that we have three sales for less than that. I think it may be best to wait for Cornix to sell it

      I agree with polar here. Sale #2 40 keys pure did sell really quickly as well so c0rn1x's buy is a definite outlier. It seemed to be 65 keys so that makes it even more of an outlier


      Backpack of buyer

      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091706202?time=1434783600

      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091706202?time=1434870000


      The frequent occurrence in the 40 keys region warrants a need to find another sale to decide on whether or not the 70 keys sale is an outlier. As it is, there isn't much for us to go on with. Thanks for the suggestion but i am going to close this for now until it sells again.