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Hey. I suggest price 3 ref,because on tf2outpost many guys selling for this price :)
At price 3-3.33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25953565
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25842261
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26086833
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26062719
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26088163
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26091139
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26094077
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25859940
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24964920
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26095623
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26084159
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26087082
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26019763
Need sales/buyers to raise a price
Need Sellers/not quicksales to lower a price
Need only sales to set a new price
EDIT: To be fair you do have 1 seller that sold 3 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25953565
but that would be an outlier with all the current unsolds on the other suggestion thats up
selling=/=sold