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Requested counter. Credit to SFMgineer for sales.
Pay attention, 'cause this gets messy quickly.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25567441 Sold for Burning Mountebank (Open suggestion at 242.5, http://backpack.tf/vote/id/556cbaf3b98d88595f8b45ad, Sale is also confirmed there though not used to set the range) + TWarp Pig (90)
(242.5 + 90) * 0.9 = 299.25 (rounding to 300)
http://i.imgur.com/ZbQnaoI.png Sold for MG Vive (187.5) + CM Attendant (Outdated at 220, mini at 160) + Blizzardy Dread Knot (Outdated at 10.5, mini at 10) + 8 keys
Presuming offered, (187.5 + 160 + 10 + 8) = 365.5 (rounding to 365)
http://puu.sh/i8QXM/5f26d126ca.png
Sold + Ghosts Rack (93) for Duped Burning Phantom (Mini at 85) + RA Muffs (Outdated at 323, mini at 245) + Hearts Phantom (Mini at 51) + 180 keys of paypal
(85 + 245 + 51 + 180) - 93 = 468 - outlier
The sale from the previous suggestion is still valid, but is also an outlier in the face of the new evidence.
CM Attendant mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26089137 Sold for D@D Coldsnap (180)
180 * 0.9 = 162 (rounding to 160)
Histories;
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3812419014,213,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3812511623,30542,5
Using 160.
Dread Knot mini:
Is this really necessary? -_-
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25446665 Quicksold for 8
Quite possibly the only recent sale though. I'm probably going to round any change here out anyway, let's just call it 10 and be done with it.
Burning Phantom mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25391715 Sold for 8.5 pure (March 17th, buds at 10)
= 85
Using 85.
Muffs mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25860468 Sold for burning Modest (~273)
273 * 0.9 = 245.7 (rounding to 245)
Little iffy on the price of the modest, but this is about the same as the Antifreeze muffs so we're probably good.
Histories;
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3736333513,984,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3778933948,139,5
Phantom mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25980941 Sold + Hearts Beret (~45) + Harvest Mirror (77.5) for PE Modest (163.5)
Presuming offered, = 41
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24718677 Offered $115 (~61)
Using 41-61.
Sales at 219, 300, 365, and 468.
Cutting off the high and low sale to give a sensible range.
Let it ride.
I figured this would happen. Was gonna look into it after a chain of suggestions, but no need anymore :P
Looks good, upvote ;)
I remember this thing had a massive drop.
mmhm, evidently a massive drop that did not reflect the market. Hopefully this rectifies things a touch :P
damn you genta
you put that 2nd opening in after i was already in the suggestion ;~;
Well i'm not necessarily a fan of being known as an outlier, although i am happy it's going up.
The thing was, if your sale wasn't an outlier, neither was 219, and 219-468 is just unfeasible and wrong on so many levels :P