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"Fixing this suggestion"
Came across this when pricing the scorching belgian. Found out its value is misstated due to the bud/key conversion (as the suggestion in buds was accepted while they were crashing). Evaluated the suggestion and 'converted' it to keys. I've found no other more recent sales.
~~~ Credits to Kevin the Chicken God [GIRL] ~~~
The sales:
Sale 1:
Sold for ooze swagmans (bumped at 90) + peace jefe (36) + 24 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033?time=1425628800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033?time=1425760968 after
0.9*(90+36) + 24 = ~137
-> 137 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for scorching belgian (~150)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094666113?time=1426143600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094666113?time=1426249069 after
Updated the belgian. The pure sale at 13 that was used for the previous suggestion was heavily inflated (11 at time of sale, 8 at time of sgst)
0.9*(150) = ~135
-> 135 keys
Sale 3:
Bulk sale for presidents veil (~365)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425884400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425987705 after
Not using
Sale 4:
Bulk sale frostbite woodsman (this was no 1:1 as said in prev. sgst)
Buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425628800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425829909 after
Seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062643826?time=1425738602 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062643826?time=1425801600 after
This explains why it would be such an outlier.
Revising the suggestion, the two sales would be 135 and 137. Making that the range.
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3
Missed 4 buds in sale 2, should have been 180 keys.
Both sales are already a bit outdated now but no more recent sales have happened so I'm ok with that.
I call sale 2 at 180 keys an outlier because http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25302596 - he is trying to sell it for 150 keys for 3 months.
So the correct price would be to only sale 1, at 137 keys. This (136 keys) is close enough. Accepting.