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~399 keys
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Unusual Horrific Headsplitter Frostbite
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"Fixing this suggestion"


Came across this when pricing the scorching belgian. Found out its value is misstated due to the bud/key conversion (as the suggestion in buds was accepted while they were crashing). Evaluated the suggestion and 'converted' it to keys. I've found no other more recent sales.


~~~ Credits to Kevin the Chicken God [GIRL] ~~~


The sales:


Sale 1:


Sold for ooze swagmans (bumped at 90) + peace jefe (36) + 24 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033?time=1425628800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033?time=1425760968 after

0.9*(90+36) + 24 = ~137


-> 137 keys


Sale 2:


Sold for scorching belgian (~150)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094666113?time=1426143600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094666113?time=1426249069 after

Updated the belgian. The pure sale at 13 that was used for the previous suggestion was heavily inflated (11 at time of sale, 8 at time of sgst)

0.9*(150) = ~135


-> 135 keys


Sale 3:


Bulk sale for presidents veil (~365)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425884400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425987705 after

Not using


Sale 4:


Bulk sale frostbite woodsman (this was no 1:1 as said in prev. sgst)

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425628800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1425829909 after


Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062643826?time=1425738602 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062643826?time=1425801600 after

This explains why it would be such an outlier.


Revising the suggestion, the two sales would be 135 and 137. Making that the range.


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3

    Missed 4 buds in sale 2, should have been 180 keys.


    Both sales are already a bit outdated now but no more recent sales have happened so I'm ok with that.


    I call sale 2 at 180 keys an outlier because http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25302596 - he is trying to sell it for 150 keys for 3 months.


    So the correct price would be to only sale 1, at 137 keys. This (136 keys) is close enough. Accepting.