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Last suggestion got the amount wrong for the lower end
http://i.imgur.com/wurAp4o.png
On the 19th of May, Strange Kritzkrieg were 17.5 keys and keys were worth 19 ref
8/19~0.42
17.5(Polar apparently said that applying overpay to a kritzkrieg doesn't make sense, which I completely agree with)+4+0.42=21.92, rounded to 22
Rest of the credit to Surs
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058431653?time=1430377200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058431653?time=1430550000
21+1.5+2=24.5
24.5*0.9=22.05 rounding to 22
Mini on Nessie: http://gyazo.com/932161be324ccfc7e713c888931e44b2
Rounding to 1.5 keys
Mini on Kritzkrieg: Sold for Eerie orbiting fire gatsby[21 keys via mini]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125671535?time=1431241200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125671535?time=1431327600
Mini on Gatsby: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55662d32dea9e9311f8b45d8
Sale 2: Sold for Collector's Professional Killstreak Kritzkrieg[mini at 21 keys]+Professional Killstreak Nessie's Nine Iron[mini at 1.5 keys]+ 2 keys in stranges
Forgot to copy that part from Surs' suggestion
It's not that the overpay didn't make sense, it's just that the typical *0.9 would be at a value lower than what quickbuyers were buying it. Some overpay should be applied, valuing the S. Kritz at 17 keys is fine. The change is minimal anyway, price is meant to be an estimate.
Yup. Valuing the kritz at 17 was fine. It was the lowest classifieds seller and that is a good approximation of its pure value. It should not be taken as a pure equivalent, so some level of overpay should be applied. Just not 10%.
"Price refreshers are suggestions changing the value of a hat by <5%; changes in values of unusuals by <5% require at least 2 months between suggestions."
Technically its not a refresh, but a correction of an earlier suggestion
As for the OP:
Please do type out what it sold for in the 2nd sale, as putting Mini kritzkrieg whilst the other sale also has a kritzkrieg involved makes it unnecessarily confusing
"Price refreshers are suggestions changing the value of a hat by <5%"
Not a refresh, but ya know...
Derp, I just copied and pasted what Surs wrote, but I forgot to paste that part
Sale 2: Sold for Collector's Professional Killstreak Kritzkrieg[mini at 21 keys]+Professional Killstreak Nessie's Nine Iron[mini at 1.5 keys]+ 2 keys in stranges
Correction =/= Refresh, as Foamy stated
The main difference being that Surs' suggestion is very recent, and actually used wrong values for 1 of the 2 sales, making it obsolete and unvalid