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Ima catch hate for this one. But it seems like the reasonable price is the outlier 0-o. Thanks to Buck Rampant and Julia <3
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Sale 1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732 After
Sold for DBD Professional's Panama
31 x 0.9 = ~28
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Sale 2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732?time=1427958000 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732?time=1428130800 After
Sold for KaW Otolaryngologist's Mirror
13.5 x 0.9 = ~12
Seems like an outlier.
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Sale 3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720?time=1427698800 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720?time=1427958000 After
Sold for Gifted Death at Dusk Ye Oiled Baker Boy
16 x 0.9 = ~14
Seems like an outlier.
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Sale 4
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102038969?time=1432364400 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102038969?time=1432450800 After
Sold for DBD Bot Dogger
27 x 0.9 = ~24
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Sale 5
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102038969?time=1431846000 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102038969?time=1432018800 After
Sold with 5 keys for Planets Beak
Mini is unrequired because of how slightly outdated the hat is and how all buyouts suggest that it is easy to sell at backpack price.
37 x 0.9 + 5 = ~38
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25955530 (Beak listed at 39)
This seems like an outlier anyway.
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Mini on Gifted Baker Boy
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088200122?time=1430550000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088200122?time=1430722800
Sold for 16 Pure
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sale#1 is the same guy as sale#2
and i don't see him owning a panama + the backpack links are off
in the bot dogger sale,this was added to the dogger http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3797145370,30028,5
making the sale unrealistical,something was most likely added to the hood too.
baker sale is outdated >2 months (and there are other sales to pick from,)
Hard to tell exactly what happened on the bot dogger, but it looks to me like two separate trades with the same person. The second appears to have been the slug plus the circling logo topi for the circling logo tower, sometime between the 24th and 26th.
Pre:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102038969?time=1432524774
Post:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102038969?time=1432623600
The most recent baker sale looks like it was added to a cloudy Whoopee for a burning Scout Shako, so who knows on that one.
Pre:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720?time=1429336010
Post:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720?time=1429945200
The 16 key baker sale appears to have been a quicksale while the person was completely cashing out (the backpack is basically empty now)
Your Sale 1 was wrong. Well at least, wrong links. :P
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732?time=1428217200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732?time=1428350449
He was quickselling his too: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25619087
Sale 3's mini is wrong.
Key: http://backpack.tf/item/2761639652
Gifted DaD Ye Oiled Baker Boy: http://backpack.tf/item/3271653848
Doesn't match history.
A Proper Mini:
There isn't much sales in the past 3 months, this sale is from February.
Sold for Sunbeams Bombing Run ~27 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035999201?time=1424592000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035999201?time=1424810822
Sale 5 is wrong too.
There is currently a open suggestion on the beak at 40 and I've managed to find a sale at 44.
Therefore, using 40-44 Keys.
As it's offered, no overpay should be included.
Therefore:
42-5=37 Keys
37 Keys should be your final price on that sale.
Some other sales that I managed to find...
Sold for Spec. KS Australium Sniper Rifle ~36 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106962953?time=1428130800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106962953?time=1428649200
Sold for TW YWN ~36 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101545385?time=1433487600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101545385?time=1433592365
Mini on the TW YWN:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26234517
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26234472
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26228086
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26180477
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26151323
Same guy relisting for 40 Keys for 2 weeks.
Alright. So sales at 24, 27, 28, 36, 36, 37.
I'll probably do 27-37 Keys. 24 might have added some CS:GO stuff, but it's still close after including it in the range.