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almost forgot this.
sale 1: sold for 14 pure keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26080479
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057650543?time=1433228400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057650543?time=1433314800
sale 2: sold for Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Black Box[35 keys via mini]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104940246?time=1431500400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104940246?time=1431846000
35*0.9=31.5 rounding to 32.
obvious outlier.
mini on black box: http://gyazo.com/c50303a6149eea6623dbb7bc6186397a
rounding to 35 keys.
taking a final price of 14 keys.