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Sale 1)
sold for HG hat of cards + aussie rocket
49 + 78*.9
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070332237?time=1427526000 (March 28th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070332237?time=1427612400 (March 29th)
~119 keys -> 120
Sale 2)
Sold + demonflame le party for burning chapeau
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044251897?time=1432105200 (May 20th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044251897?time=1432191600 (May 21st)
226-95
~131 -> 130
Mini on burning chapeau
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065369941?time=1432450800 (May 24th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065369941?time=1432537200 (May 25th)
sold for scorching flames lucky shot + AF ol’ snuggle
.9*(91.5 + 160)
~226 keys
Micro on scorching lucky shot:
sold for burning jannisery + scorching le party
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154658453?time=1428562800 (April 9th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154658453?time=1428649200 (April 10th)
132 + 46= 178
178*.9=160.2
Taking full range
There were a couple items sold with the Chapeau in sale #1 but they are mostly small painted items that end up being around a 2 keys worth, so besides that it all looks good to me.