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My first suggestion, old price..
Proof #1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25971442
B/O of 14 keys,lower than the current price, unsold for 3 weeks and counting..
Proof #2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25681980
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25686342
Sold to Jack Wizard for that Kill a Watt Bombing run
~14 keys
Proof #3:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25656922
The man was selling for 13 keys
~13 keys
Proof #4:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25686336
an offer of 10 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25779341
" 3rd gen robo hat. lucky if u can get 10 keys for that "
Kill a Watt one is priced at 12-14 keys, and the effects are pretty similar. 3rd gen robo hat, and 3rd gens and particularly 3rd gens are massively getting down now.
Bombing run is outdated and needs a mini. Also overpay to be counted for. No proof that the 3rd proof was sold for 13 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25764597 - Sold for a milkman nuts and bolts (which requires a mini also)
Downvote because you have missed sales, not provided a mini for the outdated unusuals and not applied overpay.
Also no proof it was 1:1 sell for the milkman, and highly suspected as the man was looking to upgrade his unusual with 4 keys.
The history of the four keys didn't have the milkman's owners name, He did not upgrade with the four keys.
Your 14 keys sale is high here. Kill-a-watt bombing run was updated at 11 keys http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55834c89dea9e9fb028b46cb . Making this sale (11 keys * 0.9 = 10 keys).
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26198130 Sold for 13 keys pure
2. Sold for Miami Nights Grenadier's Softcap(13.5 keys * 0.9 = ~12 keys) + ~4.8 refs in Sweets
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103366283?time=1431154800 (May 9th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103366283?time=1431241200 (May 10th)
I would go with 10-13 keys here. The range at the moment is slightly high here with your high end sale actually being higher than it should be.