Pretty easy update lol no; Apparently a semi-themed hat of some sort. (resuggested with clean sales ty foamy! ^^)

Sale 1 (unusable)

Hat is dirty (gift text) but doesn't seem to matter in this price range and effect tier.

Sold for 15.4 keys + a RPS taunt (8 ref) = 15.8 ~ 16 keys

BP of seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072392562?time=1432364400

BP of seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072392562?time=1432450800

Screencap of keys: http://puu.sh/igqKB/f7c7de86c4.png

History of hat: http://backpack.tf/item/2661602980

Sale 2 (outlier)

Sold for a pro killstreak collector's festive flare gun (what a mouthful).

BP of seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072392562?time=1431068400

BP of seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072392562?time=1431154800

Mini for flare gun

Sold for all of this: http://puu.sh/igrfi/f9ebe88c0d.jpg (everything besides the key and sf knife)

Overpay calculation: 10 (pan has spec kit on it) + 1.4 + 2.5 + 2.5 (bills hats are easy to get with paint at base price) + 3 keys (lazy so rounding up) + 13 = 32.4 * 0.9 = 29 keys

History of flare gun: http://backpack.tf/item/2857305079

Sale 3 (clean one)

Sold for a clean C9 strontium stovepipe.

BP of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018990122?time=1431932400

BP of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018990122?time=1432191600

History of stovepipe: http://backpack.tf/item/2176974445

History of guad: http://backpack.tf/item/3546541010

Stovepipe Mini

The one traded for the guad looks like it was sold on the SCM. Did find another one though that was sold for a terror watt puglists protector.

Screencap of trade: http://puu.sh/ihxIg/e8841653ee.jpg

History of 2nd stovepipe: http://backpack.tf/item/3365733889

History of protector: http://backpack.tf/item/2344639608

Overpay calculation: 22 * 0.9 = 19.8 ~ 20 keys