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Year old
"Dad wanted me to be a stuntman, but I went to war instead, but he still gave me this"
Proof:
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26117421 (14 keys in items?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26083431 (18 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26158191 (17)
Solds:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125815803?time=1431536668 (sold for a tf logo carousers ~ 12, was offered on so no overpay needed)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070877812?time=1429649932 (sold for 7 pure) ~ outlier?
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172446667?time=1428626582 (sold for 14 pure)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070310293?time=1432985155 (sold for a Frostbite Titanium Tyrolean ~ 20 not sure if offered on x0.9= 18 keys) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26023544 got offered a bubbling voodoo too ~ 16 keysx0.9= 14
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102996762?time=1432535760 (sold for a miami nights bone dome ~ 20 + 3 keys) 20x0.9= 18 + 3 = 21
Some guy also offered his on my stormy storm bombing...
Seems too wide a range here. With no offers, let alone other sales even close to 21 keys, I would call it an outlier.
Apart from the above, your third sale is wrong. Rather, it was a Steaming Luchadore that sold for the 14 keys as shown here:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172446667?time=1428476400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172446667?time=1428562800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172446667?time=1428562800&compare=1428476400
so new range of...?
or close?
Well, for your first sale, it doesn't seem like it was a 1:1 for the TF Logo Capotain. Work out what sweets were added on each side:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125815803?time=1431414000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125815803?time=1431500400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125815803?time=1431500400&compare=1431414000
As for your fourth sale, sweets that add up to a bit over a key were added:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070310293?time=1432882800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070310293?time=1432969200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070310293?time=1432969200&compare=1432882800
Therefore, the values for each sale will differ from your original values. If you are finding it difficult to settle with a range, perhaps try to find more sales so you could see which are outliers and which aren't. I hope this helps, good luck!
21 is an outlier. Do 12-14.