Suggestion: Molten Mallard Tough Stuff Muffs at 115–130 keys

Price Suggestion

~105 keys

mallard

111 votes up

12 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Wed, 01 Jul 15 19:24:10 +0000 by aaroncsn.

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Comments

"You feelin' lucky, ducky?"

Resuggesting, credits to Hardicus #nosound for correcting a sale c:

Came across this when pricing the logo gibus. Might as well price this

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold + 20 keys for phosphorus pyromancer (~120) + poisoned shadows waxy (~27)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043810142?time=1433631470 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043810142?time=1433660400 after

Presumably offered on the set since 20 keys were added

120+27 -20 = ~127

-> 127 keys

Sale 2:

Sold + S.f pro ks bat (~13) + max (~25) for logo gibus (~155)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043810142?time=1432766719 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043810142?time=1432796400 after

Presumably offered since 'sweets' were added, no overpay

155-25-13 = ~117

-> 120 keys

The minis:

Mini gibus:

Sold for PE ballcap (~155)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088401243?time=1432840047 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088401243?time=1432882800 after

Taking 155

Other sales involve a marked scammer:

http://backpack.tf/item/3350049088

The minis

Mini waxy:

open sgst ~27

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/556bae61b98d88ac5f8b456a

Taking 27

Sales at 127 and 117, rounding the range to 115-130

There's currently one for sale below this value, but it seems like it was sharked by culfide:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960663241?time=1427743388 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960663241?time=1429426800 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26108413 up for 6 days, has an offer of ~105 which was declined. His buyout does not match with his classified listing.

Sticking to the sales I have now.

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3

Will probably wait on this - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26108413

It sold for a green fetti Muffs.

also last seller had a b/o of 125, does that conflict with ur top range

Thanks for the heads up. Im unsure whether or not to include it, since it would seem like an outlier to me. The gfetti muffs sales I could quickly find all seem to be around 80-90, which would result in a value of ~75 (averaging, after overpay).

If a seller has a BO of 125, it means that that specific sale has to be capped at 125. It doesnt necessarily make all sales above 125 outliers (especially since the BO would fall within the range).

Trader seems like a veteran though, it might still add to the range.

I gotchu foamy

~~Culfide sold there muffs for a Green confetti Muffs~~

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1433833200 (June 9th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1433919600 (June 10th)

~~http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1433833200&compare=1433919600~~

Totatlly didn't read the comments.

The Circling TF Logo Galvanized Gibus is updated now at 140 keys http://backpack.tf/vote/id/557745e6b98d88b5678b458a. So that sale would've been ~102 keys.

Another recent sale.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26213934 Sold for Circling TF Logo Tough Stuff Muffs(95 keys * 0.9 = ~86 keys)

The Green Confetti Tough Stuff Muffs sale is probably closer to this recent sale as well.

So we have sales at 80 ish or less(Green Confetti Tough Stuff Muffs),86 keys, 102 keys, and 127 keys sale.

With multiple sales a lot lower than your range, your range is high here. I would call the 127 keys sale and Tough Stuff Muffs sale as outliers and go with 86 and 102 keys since these are the solid sales without the need for a mini.